ArticleTropical animal health and production2025
Disease outbreak data to inform decision-making: the role of disease spread models in the Lao P.D.R. African Swine Fever epidemic, 2019.
Article in Tropical animal health and production, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
1 citing paper in PubMed.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
13 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Understanding the spread of African Swine Fever (ASF) between villages in the southeast-Asian, low - middle income country context is critical if this high impact disease is to be controlled by good policy and effective field activities in these resource-poor settings. Using governmental reporting data from the 2019 outbreak of ASF in Lao People's Democratic Republic, spatial clustering techniques were used to identify clusters of outbreak villages. Then Approximate Bayesian Computation with Sequential Monte Carlo was used to estimate the transmission parameters of ASF virus between the villages within these clusters. We used a simple disease spread model to understand the impact of parameter estimation on predicted disease spread and thus decision-making. Six clusters of radius 16 to 153km were identified over the 7 month outbreak period. Within these clusters, the basic reproduction number (R
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.