Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40344332›Full record

ArticleEcology letters2025

Two Hypotheses About Climate Change and Species Distributions.

John M Drake, John P Wares, James E Byers, Jill T Anderson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Ecology letters, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

John M DrakeOdum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4646-1235
John P WaresOdum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia, USA.
James E ByersOdum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9240-0287
Jill T AndersonOdum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3253-8142

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Species' distributions are changing around the planet as a result of global climate change. Most research has focused on shifts in mean climate conditions, leaving the effects of increased environmental variability comparatively underexplored. This paper proposes two new macroecological hypotheses-the variability damping hypothesis and the variability adaptation hypothesis-to understand how ecological dynamics and evolutionary history could influence biogeographic patterns being forced by contemporary large-scale climate change across all major ecosystems. The variability damping hypothesis predicts that distributions of species living in deep water environments will be least affected by increasing climate-driven temperature variability compared with species in nearshore, intertidal and terrestrial environments. The variability adaptation hypothesis predicts the opposite. Where available, we discuss how the existing evidence aligns with these hypotheses and propose ways in which they may be empirically tested.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeEcosystemModels, BiologicalAnimalsBiological EvolutionTemperatureclimate changeglobal changemacroecologyspecies distribution

Identifiers

PMID40344332
PMCPMC12061546

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.