Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40344226›Full record

ArticleHealth services research2026

Delaying Screening Until Covered? Changes in Lung Cancer Screening at the Age of Nearly-Universal Medicare Insurance.

Marcelo C Perraillon, Adam Warren, Lenka Goldman, Jamie L Studts, Rebecca M Myerson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Health services research, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Observational
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Marcelo C PerraillonDepartment of Health, Systems, Management and Policy, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, Colorado, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3355-3720
Adam WarrenUniversity of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, Colorado, USA.
Lenka GoldmanAmerican College of Radiology, Reston, Virginia, USA.
Jamie L StudtsDivision of Medical Oncology, Department of Medicine, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, Colorado, USA.
Rebecca M MyersonDepartment of Population Health Sciences, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, Wisconsin, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7567-936X

Funding

Statistical Data Enclave CoreP30AG017266 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI Michal Engelman · 1999 to 2026
$17.0M
Scientific and Technical CoreP2CHD047873 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI Katherine J. Curtis · 2014 to 2026
$5.1M
Health Insurance and Disparities: More than AccessR01CA288259 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI Cathy J Bradley, Marcelo Coca Perraillon · 2025 to 2026
$885k
Center for Strategic Scientific Initiatives, National Cancer Institute NCI P30 CA014520Center for Strategic Scientific Initiatives, National Cancer Institute P30CA046934Center for Strategic Scientific Initiatives, National Cancer Institute R01CA288259NCI NIH HHS R01 CA288259NIA NIH HHS P30 AG017266NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD047873
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo estimate changes in lung cancer screening at age 65, the age of nearly universal Medicare coverage. STUDY SETTING AND

designScreening reduces lung cancer mortality but is underutilized. We used a regression discontinuity design to measure the impact of nearly universal Medicare coverage at age 65 on first-time receipt of screening (primary outcome) and the proportion of screened individuals with detected lung cancer (secondary outcome). DATA SOURCES AND ANALYTIC SAMPLE: First-time screens at age 60-69 in the American College of Radiology's Lung Cancer Screening Registry data, 2015-2020. PRINCIPAL

findingsNearly-universal access to Medicare at 65 increased first-time lung cancer screening by 5450 per year (CI 4911-5990), a 41% increase compared to age 64. Eighty-nine percent of additional screens were among people who met screening eligibility criteria. Increases at age 65 were larger in rural areas than nonrural areas (52% vs. 39%) and were similar for men and women (41% and 42%). There was no statistically significant change in the proportion of screened individuals with lung cancer detected.

conclusionFirst-time receipt of lung cancer screening increases at age 65, particularly among people in rural areas. Cancer detection rates did not worsen, suggesting screening remained well targeted as it increased.

Indexed as

Early Detection of CancerLung NeoplasmsMass ScreeningMedicareUniversal Health InsuranceAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedUnited Stateshealth insurancelung cancerlung cancer screeningMedicareshared decision‐making

Identifiers

PMID40344226
PMCPMC12967913

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.