Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40341801›Full record

ArticleNPJ digital medicine2025

Simulating mismatch between calibration and target population in AI for mammography the retrospective VAIB study.

Haiko Schurz, Klara Solander, Davida Åström, Fernando Cossío, Taeyang Choi, Magnus Dustler, Claes Lundström, Håkan Gustafsson, Sophia Zackrisson, Fredrik Strand

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NPJ digital medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Haiko SchurzDepartment of Oncology-Pathology, Karolinska Institutet, Solna, Sweden. haiko.schurz@ki.se.
Klara SolanderDepartment of Oncology-Pathology, Karolinska Institutet, Solna, Sweden.
Davida ÅströmDepartment of Oncology-Pathology, Karolinska Institutet, Solna, Sweden.
Fernando CossíoDepartment of Oncology-Pathology, Karolinska Institutet, Solna, Sweden.
Taeyang ChoiDepartment of Oncology-Pathology, Karolinska Institutet, Solna, Sweden.
Magnus DustlerDepartment of Translational Medicine, Diagnostic Radiology, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden.
Claes LundströmCenter for Medical Image Science and Visualization (CMIV), Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden.
Håkan GustafssonCenter for Medical Image Science and Visualization (CMIV), Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden.
Sophia ZackrissonDepartment of Translational Medicine, Diagnostic Radiology, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden.
Fredrik StrandDepartment of Oncology-Pathology, Karolinska Institutet, Solna, Sweden. fredrik.strand@ki.se.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

AI cancer detection models require calibration to attain the desired balance between cancer detection rate (CDR) and false positive rate. In this study, we simulate the impact of six types of mismatches between the calibration population and the clinical target population, by creating purposefully non-representative datasets to calibrate AI for clinical settings. Mismatching the acquisition year between healthy and cancer-diagnosed screening participants led to a distortion in CDR between -3% to +19%. Mismatching age led to a distortion in CDR between -0.2% to +27%. Mismatching breast density distribution led to a distortion in CDR between +1% to 16%. Mismatching mammography vendors lead to a distortion in CDR between -32% to + 33%. Mismatches between calibration population and target clinical population lead to clinically important deviations. It is vital for safe clinical AI integration to ensure that important aspects of the calibration population are representative of the target population.

Identifiers

PMID40341801
PMCPMC12062211

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.