Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40341545›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

El Niño was a key driver of anomalous ocean warming in Southeast Asia in 2023.

Fangyi Tan, Dhrubajyoti Samanta, Kyle Morgan, Patrick Martin, Stephen Chua, Zihan Aw, Isaac Lai, Aron J Meltzner, Jingyu Wang, Benjamin P Horton

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Fangyi Tan *Earth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore. fangyi.tan@ntu.edu.sg.
Dhrubajyoti Samanta *Earth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore.
Kyle MorganEarth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore.
Patrick MartinAsian School of the Environment, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore.
Stephen ChuaEarth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore.
Zihan AwEarth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore.
Isaac LaiEarth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore.
Aron J MeltznerEarth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore.
Jingyu WangHumanities and Social Studies Education, National Institute of Education, Singapore, Singapore.
Benjamin P HortonEarth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore.

Funding

Ministry of Education - Singapore MOE-MOET32022-0006National Parks Board - Singapore NRF-MCCS21-1-4-0001National Research Foundation Singapore NRF-NRFF11-2019-0008National Research Foundation Singapore NRF-NRFF14-2022-0004Public Utilities Board - Singapore CWR-2102-0005
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In 2023, global ocean heat content reached unprecedented values since records began in 1960. The translation of global ocean heat into regional and local-scale ocean warming remains poorly understood because of limited observational data, particularly within Southeast Asia. Here, we investigate the 2023 ocean warming event in Southeast Asia using near-continuous 41-month in-situ ocean temperature observations from the Singapore Strait, satellite sea surface temperature (SST) measurements, and high-resolution reanalysis products. We document anomalous ocean warming across the Singapore Strait and surrounding South China Sea and Indonesian Seas to depths of at least 40 m. Peak SSTs of 1.8 °C above the climatological mean were recorded in the central Sunda Shelf in November 2023 for the first time in > 40 years. Concurrent anomalous freshening of the Singapore Strait was observed, with average salinity below the climatological mean from October to December. We identify a southward migration of warm temperature anomalies beginning with the onset of the El Niño in July 2023 near the Luzon Strait. This occurred alongside southward shifts in mean sea-level pressure and near-surface ocean currents in the region. We attribute these observations to the southward shift of the North Equatorial Current bifurcation latitude, which permitted the intrusion of Pacific western boundary currents into the South China Sea and Indonesian seas. Compared to the oceanic drivers, atmospheric forcings played a limited role in driving the ocean warming in 2023. Our study highlights El Niño as the key driver of the ocean warming in Southeast Asia in 2023, and emphasises the need for expanded continuous, in-situ ocean temperature monitoring to enhance understanding of evolving ocean-atmosphere dynamics and impacts in Southeast Asia under a warming climate.

Indexed as

Climate changeEl-Niño Southern OscillationOcean temperatureSingapore StraitSoutheast Asia

Identifiers

PMID40341545
PMCPMC12062352

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.