Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40336481›Full record

SynthesisArteriosclerosis, thrombosis, and vascular biology2025

Sex-Specific Risk of Smoking for Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm and Exploration of Potential Mechanism: Meta-Analysis and Prospective Cohort Study.

Paul Welsh, Anna Louise Pouncey, Naveed Sattar, Janet T Powell

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Arteriosclerosis, thrombosis, and vascular biology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Paul WelshSchool of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health, University of Glasgow, United Kingdom (P.W., N.S.).ORCID 0000-0002-7970-3643
Anna Louise PounceyDepartment of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, United Kingdom (A.-L.P., J.T.P.).ORCID 0000-0003-2329-6193
Naveed SattarSchool of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health, University of Glasgow, United Kingdom (P.W., N.S.).ORCID 0000-0002-1604-2593
Janet T PowellDepartment of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, United Kingdom (A.-L.P., J.T.P.).ORCID 0000-0002-3905-1468

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSmoking is the strongest modifiable risk factor for the development of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). This study aims to confirm whether smoking is a stronger risk factor in women than men and identify contributory reasons, including inflammation, for any sex-specific difference observed.

methodsSystematic review and meta-analysis, conducted according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidance. Data sources were Medline, Embase, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials. Population-based studies reporting the risk of AAA, adjusted for age and cardiovascular risk factors, for women versus men, were included. These were complemented by data from UK Biobank, which also were assessed for sex-specific effects of smoking on incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease.

resultsMeta-analysis of 6 studies (including UK Biobank, 2001-2024) showed that the relative risk ratio of current versus never smokers for incident AAA in women versus men was 1.78 (95% CI, 1.32-2.38). In the UK Biobank cohort, the sex-specific relative risks of current smoking risks were higher for AAA than for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease; hazard ratio, 1.74 and 1.29, respectively: analysis by cigarettes per day echoed these findings, but pack-year history had lesser association. The proportionately lower AAA incidence rate in exsmokers (versus current smokers) was more marked in women. Sex-specific risks of current smoking for incident AAA were not significantly modified by CRP (C-reactive protein), white blood cell count, or other inflammatory markers.

conclusionsThe relative risk of developing AAA by current smokers is almost twice as high in women versus men, but no strong association with inflammation was observed. Other reasons, including smoking intensity, must be sought. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/; Unique identifier: CRD2024586609.

Indexed as

Aortic Aneurysm, AbdominalSmokingAgedFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSex FactorsUnited Kingdomaortic aneurysm, abdominalinflammationrisksexsmoking

Identifiers

PMID40336481
PMCPMC12188785

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.