Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40332933›Full record

ArticleJAMA network open2025

The 2016 CDC Opioid Guideline and Analgesic Prescribing Patterns in Older Adults With Cancer.

Rebecca Rodin, Lihua Li, Karen McKendrick, Krista Harrison, Lauren J Hunt, Ulrike Muench, Cardinale B Smith, Melissa D Aldridge, R Sean Morrison

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JAMA network open, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Guideline
  2. Geographic Variation of Gabapentinoids and Opioids in US Nursing Homes.Journal of the American Medical Directors Association · 2026
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Rebecca RodinBrookdale Department of Geriatrics and Palliative Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York.
Lihua LiBrookdale Department of Geriatrics and Palliative Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York.
Karen McKendrickBrookdale Department of Geriatrics and Palliative Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York.
Krista HarrisonDivision of Geriatrics, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco.
Lauren J HuntPhilip R. Lee Institute for Health Policy Studies, University of California, San Francisco.
Ulrike MuenchDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco.
Cardinale B SmithBrookdale Department of Geriatrics and Palliative Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York.
Melissa D AldridgeBrookdale Department of Geriatrics and Palliative Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York.
R Sean MorrisonBrookdale Department of Geriatrics and Palliative Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York.

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI SELWYN M VICKERS · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
Residing in the Community with Dementia at the End of Life: Understanding Hospice Use and Residential SettingP30AG028741 · NIA · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI ALBERT L SIU · 2010 to 2026
$21.9M
Unnecessary and Harmful Medication Use in Older Adults with DementiaP01AG066605 · NIA · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI MELISSA Diane ALDRIDGE · 2020 to 2026
$17.7M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NIA NIH HHS P01 AG066605NIA NIH HHS P30 AG028741
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Importance: In 2016, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) published guidelines cautioning against prescribing opioids for chronic noncancer pain. Little is known about unintended outcomes of this guideline on analgesic prescribing for older adults with cancer, who commonly require opioids as first-line pain treatment. Objective: To determine whether the 2016 CDC guideline was associated with altered analgesic prescribing among older adults with cancer. Design, Setting, and Participants: Interrupted time series analysis of a longitudinal cohort using Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey (MCBS) dataset (2010-2020), a nationally representative longitudinal survey of Medicare beneficiaries linked to Medicare claims. MCBS participants older than 65 years who reported a non-skin cancer diagnosis were followed up for up to 4 years. Subgroup analysis conducted for those with poor prognosis cancer or a cancer-related pain encounter (advanced cancer/cancer pain). Data were analyzed from January 2023 to February 2025. Exposure: CDC Guideline for Prescribing Opioids for Chronic Pain publication in March 2016. Main Outcomes and Measures: Quarterly prescribing rates of opioids (typical opioids, tramadol, and buprenorphine) and gabapentinoids (gabapentin and pregabalin). For each time series analysis outcome, a level change estimated immediate change and trend (ie, slope) change estimated ongoing change following the guideline. Results: The cohort included 11 903 older adults with cancer (mean [IQR] age, 79.4 [73-85] years, 6504 [54.6%] women), including 1283 with advanced cancer or cancer pain. Compared with preguideline trends, we observed the following changes after the guideline release: the slope of opioid prescribing decreased (typical opioids: -0.47; 95% CI, -0.63 to -0.30 percentage points [pp]/quarter; tramadol: -0.27; 95% CI, -0.36 to -0.17 pp/quarter; buprenorphine: -0.01; 95% CI, -0.02 to -0.01 pp/quarter), though tramadol prescribing rose by 11.5% overall; and gabapentinoid prescribing increased by 24.9% (slope change, -0.03; 95% CI, -0.09 to 0.02 pp/quarter). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of older adults with cancer, the 2016 CDC guideline was associated with a decline in opioid prescribing that was less pronounced for tramadol compared with typical opioids and was followed by a 25% increase in gabapentinoid prescribing. This may reflect a shift in cancer pain management from first-line opioids to tramadol, which is less safe, and gabapentinoids, which have been shown to be less effective for cancer pain treatment.

Indexed as

AnalgesicsAnalgesics, OpioidCancer PainChronic PainDrug PrescriptionsNeoplasmsPractice Guidelines as TopicPractice Patterns, Physicians'AgedAged, 80 and overCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S.FemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMedicareAnalgesicsAnalgesics, Opioid

Identifiers

PMID40332933
PMCPMC12059969

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.