Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40329938›Full record

ArticleLancet regional health. Americas2025

Actions against the double burden of malnutrition in Peru: a community-informed system dynamics model.

Paraskevi Seferidi, Laura Guzman-Abello, Ellis Ballard, Hilary M Creed-Kanashiro, Luis Huicho, J Jaime Miranda, Christopher Millett, Antonio Bernabe-Ortiz

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Lancet regional health. Americas, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Paraskevi SeferidiPublic Health Policy Evaluation Unit, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Laura Guzman-AbelloDepartment of Design, School of Architecture and Design, Universidad de los Andes, Bogota, Colombia.
Ellis BallardSocial System Design Lab, Brown School at Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, USA.
Hilary M Creed-KanashiroInstituto de Investigación Nutricional, Lima, Peru.
Luis HuichoCentro de Investigación en Salud Materna e Infantil, Centro de Investigación para el Desarrollo Integral y Sostenible and Facultad de Medicina, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru.
J Jaime MirandaCRONICAS Centre of Excellence in Chronic Diseases, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru.
Christopher MillettPublic Health Policy Evaluation Unit, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Antonio Bernabe-OrtizCRONICAS Centre of Excellence in Chronic Diseases, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Peru's progress in reducing stunting has stagnated since 2018, while the country is facing increasing levels of overnutrition, leading to a double burden of malnutrition. However, this shift in nutrition burden is not reflected in Peru's nutrition policy agenda. This study aims to identify leverage points for actions against population-level double burden of malnutrition in Peru. Methods: We developed a system dynamics model that simulates changes in overweight and stunting over time in Peru through changes in food system drivers. The model was conceptually informed by policymakers, practitioners and community members in Peru and used quantitative and qualitative data from secondary sources and published literature. Findings: The model indicated that several overnutrition policies, including policies targeting food availability and affordability, may decelerate but not halt the increase of overweight in the country, mainly due to industry resistance. However, in the long term, the reallocation of resources towards overnutrition policies may inadvertently hinder progress towards stunting targets. Transforming nutrition policy governance, from siloed overnutrition and undernutrition policies towards a common policy framework against the double burden of malnutrition was the only modelled scenario that halted the rise in overnutrition, while keeping Peru on course to reach its stunting goals. Interpretation: Transition away from policy landscapes that focus on single nutrition outcomes towards synergistic actions that target malnutrition in all forms is a long-term solution towards achieving global nutrition goals. Such policy transitions are especially important in low and middle-income countries like Peru, which are affected by the double burden of malnutrition. Funding: This study was supported by a research grant from the Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BBSRC) (grant reference: BB/T009004/1).

Indexed as

Double burden of malnutritionDouble-duty actionsPeruSystem dynamics

Identifiers

PMID40329938
PMCPMC12052979

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.