Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40327594›Full record

ArticleCancer2025

Comparison of survival outcomes for patients with Stage III vs de novo Stage IV breast cancer.

Michael S Lee, Samantha M Thomas, Anna D Louie, Laura H Rosenberger, Rani Bansal, Gayle DiLalla, Kendra J M Parrish, Ton Wang, Hannah E Woriax, E Shelley Hwang and 1 more

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Michael S LeeDepartment of Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Samantha M ThomasDuke Cancer Institute, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Anna D LouieDepartment of Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Laura H RosenbergerDepartment of Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Rani BansalDuke Cancer Institute, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Gayle DiLallaDepartment of Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Kendra J M ParrishDepartment of Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Ton WangDepartment of Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Hannah E WoriaxDepartment of Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
E Shelley HwangDepartment of Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Jennifer K PlichtaDepartment of Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7411-0558

Funding

Women's Cancer Research ProgramP30CA014236 · NCI · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI JOHN N. NORTON · 1985 to 2026
$174.8M
Building Interdisciplinary Research Careers in Women's Health (K12) - Administrative SupplementK12AR084231 · NIAMS · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI Cindy Amundsen · 2023 to 2026
$2.5M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA014236NIAMS NIH HHS K12 AR084231NIH HHS K12AR084231NIH HHS P30CA014236
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeImprovements in systemic therapy have resulted in significant heterogeneity in survival outcomes for metastatic breast cancer patients. As such, recently proposed staging guidelines for de novo metastatic breast cancer stratify patients into four categories (IVA/IVB/IVC/IVD). Expanding on this, overall survival (OS) outcomes for patients with Stage III vs Stage IV breast cancer were compared based on the previously defined American Joint Committee on Cancer guidelines and recently proposed subgroups for de novo metastatic breast cancer.

methodsAdult patients diagnosed with Stage III or IV breast cancer in the National Cancer Database (2010-2019) were stratified as IIIA/B/C (American Joint Committee on Cancer, 8th edition) or IVA/B/C/D. OS was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox proportional hazards models estimated the association between stage subgroups and OS.

resultsAmong 81,128 patients (median follow-up, 76.8 months), 83.5% were Stage III and 16.5% Stage IV. Unadjusted 3-year OS rates were 85.7% for Stage III versus 68.3% for Stage IV. From Stage III to Stage IV, OS declined but there was notable convergence in OS between subgroups. The unadjusted 3-year OS for IIIC was 69.6%, which was lower than IVA (87.0%) and IVB (78.4%). Adjusted analysis showed similar trends, with the HR for IIIC at 1.94, which was worse than IVA at 1.20 and IVB at 1.83 (ref: IIIA, overall p < .001).

conclusionsIt was demonstrated that the survival outcomes for select patients with Stage IV breast cancer have significant convergence in OS with some patients with Stage III disease. These findings may be important for patient counseling, treatment approaches, and clinical trial design.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsAdultAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansKaplan-Meier EstimateMiddle AgedNeoplasm StagingSurvival Ratebreast cancermetastatic breast cancerprognosisstagesurvival

Identifiers

PMID40327594
PMCPMC12118954

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.