Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40325006›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Health octo tool matches personalized health with rate of aging.

Sh Salimi, A Vehtari, M Salive, M Kaeberlein, D Raftery, L Ferrucci

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Sh SalimiDepartment of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA. ssalimi2@uw.edu.
A VehtariDepartment of Computer Science, Aalto University, Aalto, Finland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2164-9469
M SaliveDivision of Geriatrics and Clinical Gerontology, National Institute on Aging, Bethesda, MD, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0008-1654-2142
M KaeberleinOptispan Inc, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1311-3421
D RafteryDepartment of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, University of Washington, Northwest Metabolomics Research Center, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2467-8118
L FerrucciIntramural Research Program, National Institute on Aging, Baltimore, MD, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6273-1613

Funding

University of Washington Nathan Shock Center of Excellence in the Basic Biology of AgingP30AG013280 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI Michael MacCoss · 1995 to 2026
$27.1M
DNA methylation markers of Multimorbidity in Aging Humans and MiceK01AG059898 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI SALIMI, SHABNAM · 2019 to 2023
$613k
NIA NIH HHS K01 AG059898NIA NIH HHS P30 AG013280
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Medical practice mainly addresses single diseases, neglecting multimorbidity as a heterogeneous health decline across organ systems. Aging is a multidimensional process and cannot be captured by a single metric. Therefore, we assessed global health in longitudinal studies, BLSA (n = 907), InCHIANTI (n = 986), and NHANES (n = 40,790), by examining disease severities in 13 bodily systems, generating the Body Organ Disease Number (BODN), reflecting progressive system morbidities. We used Bayesian ordinal models, regressing BODN over organ specific and all organs disease severities to obtain Body System-Specific Clocks and the Body Clock, respectively. The Body Clock is BODN weighted by the posterior coefficient of diseases for each individual. It supersedes the frailty index, predicting disability, geriatric syndrome, SPPB, and mortality with ≥90% accuracy. The Health Octo Tool, derived from Bodily System-Specific Clocks, the Body Clock and Clocks that incorporate walking speed and disability and their aging rates, captures multidimensional aging heterogeneity across organs and individuals.

Indexed as

AgingPrecision MedicineAgedAged, 80 and overBayes TheoremFemaleFrailtyHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedWalking Speed

Identifiers

PMID40325006
PMCPMC12053696

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.