Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40324114›Full record

ArticleJCO precision oncology2025

Training, Validating, and Testing Machine Learning Prediction Models for Endometrial Cancer Recurrence.

Jesus Gonzalez Bosquet, Andrew Polio, Erin George, Ahmad A Tarhini, Casey M Cosgrove, Marilyn S Huang, Bradley Corr, Aliza L Leiser, Bodour Salhia, Kathleen Darcy and 9 more

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in JCO precision oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Jesus Gonzalez BosquetDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Gynecologic Oncology, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA.ORCID 0000-0002-2079-4528
Andrew PolioDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Gynecologic Oncology, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA.ORCID 0009-0002-1063-2688
Erin GeorgeGynecologic Oncology, Moffit Cancer Center, Tampa, FL.ORCID 0000-0003-3068-0273
Ahmad A TarhiniDepartments of Cutaneous Oncology and Immunology, H. Lee Moffit Cancer Center & Research Institute, Tampa, FL.ORCID 0000-0002-3193-9702
Casey M CosgroveGynecologic Oncology, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH.ORCID 0009-0003-1056-9938
Marilyn S HuangGynecologic Oncology, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA.ORCID 0000-0002-4644-2483
Bradley CorrGynecologic Oncology, University of Colorado, Aurora, CO.ORCID 0000-0002-6608-2585
Aliza L LeiserGynecologic Oncology, Rutgers, New Brunswick, NJ.
Bodour SalhiaDepartment of Translational Genomics, Norris Comprehensive Cancer Center, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA.ORCID 0000-0003-3843-3621
Kathleen DarcyGynecologic Cancer Center of Excellence, Department of Gynecologic Surgery and Obstetrics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center, Bethesda, MD.
Christopher M TarneyGynecologic Cancer Center of Excellence, Department of Gynecologic Surgery and Obstetrics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center, Bethesda, MD.
Rob L DoodGynecologic Oncology, Huntsman Cancer Institute, Salt Lake City, UT.ORCID 0000-0003-4302-6983
Lauren E DockeryGynecologic Oncology, University of Oklahoma, Oklahoma City, OK.
Stephen B EdgeSurgical Oncology, Roswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center, Elm & Carlton Streets, Buffalo, NY.ORCID 0000-0002-3285-6191
Michael J CavnarSurgical Oncology, University of Kentucky, UKMC-C224, Lexington KY.
Lisa LandrumGynecologic Oncology, Indiana University, Indianapolis, IN.
Rob J RounbehlerDepartment of Clinical and Life Sciences, Aster Insights, Hudson, FL.
Michelle ChurchmanAster Insights, Hudson, FL.
Vincent M WagnerDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Gynecologic Oncology, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA.ORCID 0000-0002-0402-3483

Funding

Viral VectorP30CA086862 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF IOWA · PI Christopher K Laubenthal · 2000 to 2026
$70.0M
University of Kentucky Markey Cancer Center Support Grant ECIA SupplementP30CA177558 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF KENTUCKY · PI Bernard Mark Evers · 2013 to 2026
$38.3M
Targeted Therapy for Endometrial CancerR01CA099908 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF NEW MEXICO HEALTH SCIS CTR · PI LESLIE, KIMBERLY K. · 2002 to 2023
$5.8M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA086862NCI NIH HHS P30 CA177558NCI NIH HHS R01 CA099908
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeEndometrial cancer (EC) is the most common gynecologic cancer in the United States with rising incidence and mortality. Despite optimal treatment, 15%-20% of all patients will recur. To better select patients for adjuvant therapy, it is important to accurately predict patients at risk for recurrence. Our objective was to train, validate, and test models of EC recurrence using lasso regression and other machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) analytics in a large, comprehensive data set.

methodsData from patients with EC were downloaded from the Oncology Research Information Exchange Network database and stratified into low risk, The International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) grade 1 and 2, stage I (N = 329); high risk, or FIGO grade 3 or stages II, III, IV (N = 324); and nonendometrioid histology (N = 239) groups. Clinical, pathologic, genomic, and genetic data were used for the analysis. Genomic data included microRNA, long noncoding RNA, isoforms, and pseudogene expressions. Genetic variation included single-nucleotide variation (SNV) and copy-number variation (CNV). In the discovery phase, we selected variables informative for recurrence (

resultsRecurrence clinic models for low-risk, high-risk, and high-risk nonendometrioid histology had AUCs of 56%, 70%, and 65%, respectively. For training, we selected models with AUC >80%: five for the low-risk group, 20 models for the high-risk group, and 20 for the nonendometrioid group. The two best low-risk models included clinical data and CNVs. For the high-risk group, three of the five best-performing models included pseudogene expression. For the nonendometrioid group, pseudogene expression and SNV were overrepresented in the best models.

conclusionPrediction models of EC recurrence built with ML and DL analytics had better performance than models with clinical and pathologic data alone. Prospective validation is required to determine clinical utility.

Indexed as

Endometrial NeoplasmsMachine LearningNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalAgedFemaleHumansMiddle Aged

Identifiers

PMID40324114
PMCPMC12054588

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.