Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40321670›Full record

ArticleCommunications earth & environment2025

Anthropogenic climate change contributes to wildfire particulate matter and related mortality in the United States.

Beverly E Law, John T Abatzoglou, Christopher R Schwalm, David Byrne, Neal Fann, Nicholas J Nassikas

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Communications earth & environment, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Valuing wildfire smoke-related mortality benefits from climate mitigation.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  6. Large role of anthropogenic climate change in driving smoke concentrations across the western United States from 1992 to 2020.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Beverly E Law *Department of Forest Ecosystems and Society, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1605-1203
John T Abatzoglou *Management of Complex Systems Department, University of California, Merced, CA USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7599-9750
Christopher R Schwalm *Woodwell Climate Research Center, Falmouth, MA USA.
David Byrne *Woodwell Climate Research Center, Falmouth, MA USA.
Neal Fann *Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Office of Air and Radiation, US EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC USA.
Nicholas J Nassikas *Division of Pulmonary, Critical Care, and Sleep Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA USA.

Funding

Climate Variability and Respiratory Health in Asthma and COPDK23ES035863 · NIEHS · BETH ISRAEL DEACONESS MEDICAL CENTER · PI Nicholas Nassikas · 2024 to 2026
$769k
NIEHS NIH HHS K23 ES035863
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change has increased forest fire extent in temperate and boreal North America. Here, we quantified the contribution of anthropogenic climate change to human mortality and economic burden from exposure to wildfire particulate matter at the county and state level across the contiguous US (2006 to 2020) by integrating climate projections, climate-wildfire models, wildfire smoke models, and emission and health impact modeling. Climate change contributed to approximately 15,000 wildfire particulate matter deaths over 15 years with interannual variability ranging from 130 (95% confidence interval: 64, 190) to 5100 (95% confidence interval: 2500, 7500) deaths and a cumulative economic burden of $160 billion. Approximately 34% of the additional deaths attributable to climate change occurred in 2020, costing $58 billion. The economic burden was highest in California, Oregon, and Washington. We suggest that absent abrupt changes in climate trajectories, land management, and population, the indirect impacts of climate change on human-health through wildfire smoke will escalate.

Indexed as

AttributionEnvironmental healthFire ecology

Identifiers

PMID40321670
PMCPMC12048342

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.