ArticleEnvironmental health : a global access science source2025
Environmental change increases the transmission risk of visceral leishmaniasis in central China around the Taihang mountains.
Article in Environmental health : a global access science source, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.
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7 citing papers in PubMed.
- Recent advances in machine learning and Bayesian modeling for tropical disease prediction, diagnosis, and risk analysis: a scoping review.BMC infectious diseases · 2026Article
- Zoonotic leishmaniasis in China: Current status and challenges to elimination.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Review
- Expanding mountain-type zoonotic visceral leishmaniasis in China: a multi-source data-driven investigation.The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific · 2026Article
- Diseases Caused by Parasites with Invertebrate Hosts in China: Burden and Trends of Leishmaniasis and Schistosomiasis.Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Epidemiological Transition and Spatial Expansion of Mountain-Type Zoonotic Visceral Leishmaniasis - China, 2010-2024.China CDC weekly · 2026Article
- Targeting environmental determinants and settlements in public health planning for the containment of visceral leishmaniasis: a One Health perspective.Frontiers in public health · 2026Article
- Structural Drivers of Cutaneous Leishmaniasis: Examining How the Converging Effects of Displacement, Environmental Disruption, and Political Instability Reshape Epidemiology Beyond Endemic Regions.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2025Review
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21 authors.
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Abstract
backgroundVisceral leishmaniasis is a neglected life-threatening sandfly-borne disease, which brings a growing public health threat in Central China around the Taihang Mountains. However, the spatiotemporal dynamics of visceral leishmaniasis in the local community and the potential driving factors remain poorly understood.
methodsWe analyzed the spatiotemporal patterns of new reported visceral leishmaniasis cases in the region from 2006 to 2023, and combined random forest modeling approach with environmental covariates to identify the main influencing factors related to transmission risk of the disease.
resultsOur results show that there was a total number of 800 reported human visceral leishmaniasis cases, affecting 29 cities, and 113 counties across the region, exhibiting a geographic expansion of the disease during this period, especially in Shanxi province. Two high-risk clusters were identified in the study. Environmental change-related factors, including standardized precipitation deviation, forest cumulative change ratio, and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) cumulative change, played important roles in increasing the transmission risk of visceral leishmaniasis, with their relative contributions summing up to 66.17%.
conclusionsOur findings provide a better understanding of the spatiotemporal dynamics and driving factors of visceral leishmaniasis recurrence across Central China around the Taihang Mountains, which underscore prevention and control measures should be taken immediately to reduce the risk.
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