Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40319542›Full record

ArticleThe International journal on drug policy2025

Restrictive and permissive alcohol policies during the COVID-19 pandemic and their association with alcohol consumption in the United States.

Julia M Lemp, Carolin Kilian, Sophie Bright, William C Kerr, Laura Llamosas-Falcón, Nina Mulia, Jürgen Rehm, Charlotte Probst

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The International journal on drug policy, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Underage Access to Alcohol Through Curbside and Home Delivery: Prevalence and Consequences.Prevention science : the official journal of the Society for Prevention Research · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Julia M LempInstitute for Mental Health Policy Research, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Heidelberg Institute of Global Health (HIGH), Medical Faculty and University Hospital, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany.
Carolin KilianInstitute for Mental Health Policy Research, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Danish Institute for Advanced Study (DIAS), University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.
Sophie BrightSheffield Centre for Health and Related Research (ScHARR), Faculty of Medicine, Dentistry & Health, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom.
William C KerrAlcohol Research Group, Public Health Institute, Emeryville, CA, United States.
Laura Llamosas-FalcónInstitute for Mental Health Policy Research, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Institute of Medical Science, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Nina MuliaAlcohol Research Group, Public Health Institute, Emeryville, CA, United States.
Jürgen RehmInstitute for Mental Health Policy Research, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Institute of Medical Science, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Department of Psychiatry, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Center for Interdisciplinary Addiction Research (ZIS), Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf (UKE), Hamburg, Germany; Campbell Family Mental Health Research Institute, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, ON, Canada; Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; Program on Substance Abuse & WHO Collaborating Centre, Public Health Agency of Catalonia, Barcelona, Spain.
Charlotte ProbstInstitute for Mental Health Policy Research, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Institute of Medical Science, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Center for Interdisciplinary Addiction Research (ZIS), Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf (UKE), Hamburg, Germany; Campbell Family Mental Health Research Institute, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, ON, Canada. Electronic address: charlotte.probst@camh.ca.

Funding

Supplement to a microsimulation of alcohol control interventions to advance health equity and reverse the current decrease in life expectancy in the USR01AA028009 · NIAAA · CENTRE FOR ADDICTION AND MENTAL HEALTH · PI PROBST, CHARLOTTE · 2020 to 2024
$2.4M
NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA028009
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEarly in the COVID-19 pandemic, alcohol researchers anticipated that psychological distress and changes in alcohol availability would impact alcohol consumption patterns. While psychological distress was expected to increase alcohol use, particularly among vulnerable groups, restrictive alcohol policies might have led to reduced consumption. This study examined the complex relationship between psychological distress, alcohol policies, alcohol consumption, and their interactions with sociodemographic factors during the COVID-19 pandemic in the US.

methodsWe used 2020-21 US Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System Survey (BRFSS, N = 726,962 adults) data to analyze associations between psychological distress, alcohol policy scores, and alcohol consumption, considering age, sex, education, race and ethnicity, and COVID-19 government response as covariates in a zero-inflated multi-level regression. State-level monthly alcohol policy scores derived from Alcohol Policy Information System data reflect the restrictiveness and permissiveness of alcohol policies implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic.

resultsPsychological distress and exposure to restrictive policies increased the likelihood of abstaining from alcohol in the past month, although the observed effects were small. Among past-month drinkers, distress and restrictive policies were associated with slightly higher average daily consumption in pure alcohol grams/day. Younger respondents were more likely to abstain from alcohol when exposed to restrictive policies, while permissive policies correlated with higher drinking prevalence and heavy episodic drinking occurrence among those with higher education.

conclusionAlcohol policies and psychological distress during the COVID-19 pandemic were linked to both lower and higher alcohol consumption in different population subgroups. Restrictive and permissive policies had diverging associations with consumption patterns across subgroups. While effect sizes were modest, they could translate into meaningful changes in alcohol consumption at the population level, especially during prolonged times of crisis.

Indexed as

Alcohol DrinkingCOVID-19Health PolicyPsychological DistressAdolescentAdultAgedBehavioral Risk Factor Surveillance SystemFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPandemicsUnited StatesYoung AdultAlcohol policyAlcohol useCOVID-19Psychological distress

Identifiers

PMID40319542
PMCPMC12891775

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.