ArticleJournal of the Pediatric Infectious Diseases Society2025
A Prospective Evaluation of a Three-Gene Host Response Signature to Classify Tuberculosis Severity in Children.
Article in Journal of the Pediatric Infectious Diseases Society, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
backgroundChildren with non-severe TB may benefit from short-course treatment, but point-of-care tools are needed to stratify disease severity. We prospectively evaluated the Cepheid Xpert MTB-Host Response (HR) prototype cartridge for distinguishing TB severity in children with pulmonary TB (PTB) in The Gambia and Uganda.
methodsWe included children <15 with microbiologically confirmed or clinically diagnosed unconfirmed PTB. Severity was defined using the World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines for a four-month, drug-susceptible regimen. Capillary or venous blood was tested with the HR cartridge for PCR-based detection of 3 mRNA genes and calculation of a TB score from cycle thresholds. We generated receiver operating characteristic curves with the TB score to classify severe TB and assessed if Xpert-HR could achieve the WHO target accuracy for treatment optimization (≥90% sensitivity, ≥70% specificity).
resultsAmong 106 children, the median age was 4 years (IQR 1-7), 56.6% were female, and 13.2% were living with HIV. In all children with PTB, Xpert-HR achieved an AUC of 0.67 (95% CI 0.55-0.78), with 89.3% sensitivity (95% CI 71.8-97.7) and 29.5% specificity (95% CI 19.7-40.9, cutoff ≤ -0.60). By confirmation status, Xpert-HR approached the target accuracy in children with Confirmed TB, with 62.5% specificity (95% CI 24.5-91.5) at 91.7% sensitivity (95% CI 61.5-99.8, cut-off ≤ -1.349). Among children with Unconfirmed TB, specificity was lower (24.3%, 95% CI 14.8-36.0) at 93.8% sensitivity (95% CI 69.8-99.8, cutoff ≤ -0.450). Target accuracy was almost achieved in children 5-9 regardless of confirmation status (100% sensitivity [95% CI 71.5-100], 66.7% specificity [95% CI 43.0-85.4], cutoff ≤ -1.35), but specificity (28.2%, 95% CI 18.6-39.5) was lower for children < 5 (92.9% sensitivity, 95% CI 76.5-99.1, cutoff ≤ -0.550).
conclusionsXpert-HR approached the target accuracy to stratify PTB severity in older children and those with Confirmed TB but had lower specificity in children with Unconfirmed TB. Child-specific signatures may be needed to improve performance in younger children with paucibacillary disease.
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