Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40316949›Full record

Observational studyBMC infectious diseases2025

Incidence and risk factor of sepsis in patients with severe community-acquired pneumonia: a Chinese, single-center, retrospective study.

Xinyu Wang, Chang Wei, Dingxiu He, Dong Huang, Yuean Zhao, Longyi Ran, Xinyuan Wang, He Yu, Zongan Liang, Linjing Gong

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMC infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Xinyu Wang *Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, No. 37 Guoxue Alley, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041, China.
Chang Wei *Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, No. 37 Guoxue Alley, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041, China.
Dingxiu He *Department of Emergency Medicine, The People's Hospital of Deyang, Deyang, Sichuan, China.
Dong HuangDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, No. 37 Guoxue Alley, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041, China.
Yuean ZhaoDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, No. 37 Guoxue Alley, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041, China.
Longyi RanDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, No. 37 Guoxue Alley, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041, China.
Xinyuan WangDepartment of Orthopaedics, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
He YuDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, No. 37 Guoxue Alley, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041, China. yuhe@wchscu.cn.
Zongan LiangDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, No. 37 Guoxue Alley, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041, China. liangza@scu.edu.cn.
Linjing GongDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, No. 37 Guoxue Alley, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041, China. glj13301050312@126.com.

Funding

the National Natural Science Foundation of China 82200102the National Natural Science Foundation of China 82202688the Noncommunicable Chronic Diseases-National Science and Technology Major Project 2024ZD0522700the "Qimingxing" Research Fund for Young Talents HXQMX0014West China Hospital Postdoctoral Science Foundation 2023HXBH043
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSepsis represents a high-risk mortality cohort among patients with severe community-acquired pneumonia (SCAP). Rapid and precise identification along with prompt decision-making, serves as a practical approach to improve patient prognosis.

methodsThis retrospective observational study enrolled adult patients with severe community-acquired pneumonia (SCAP) who were continuously hospitalized in the intensive care unit (ICU) of West China Hospital, Sichuan University, from September 2011 to September 2019. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were employed to identify independent risk factors for co-sepsis, followed by the utilization of LASSO regression to filter features to establish a nomogram. Model robustness was evaluated via the C index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, and calculation of the area under the curve (AUC). Furthermore, its predictive accuracy was assessed via decision curve analysis (DCA).

resultsIn total, 5855 SCAP patients were included in the present study, of whom 654 developed sepsis. Patients with sepsis exhibited a prolonged length of stay in the ICU and higher mortality rates, indicating a worse prognosis than those without sepsis. We identified 15 independent risk factors associated with the development of sepsis in SCAP patients. Further analysis incorporating 9 of these features to construct a nomogram demonstrated a C index of 0.722 (95%CI 0.702-0.742), including lactate, D-dimer, respiratory rate, heart rate, albumin, hemoglobin, activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), glucose, and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels. The AUC values and DCA curves demonstrated that the model exhibited superior accuracy and overall net benefit in predicting co-sepsis development compared with the qSOFA, CURB-65, SOFA, and APACHE II scores. Additionally, the calibration curve confirmed good concordance between the predicted probabilities of the model.

conclusionsThis study investigated the risk factors for co-sepsis in SCAP patients and constructed an expedited, cost-effective and personalized model for predicting the probability of co-sepsis.

Indexed as

Community-Acquired InfectionsPneumoniaSepsisAdultAgedChinaCommunity-Acquired PneumoniaEast Asian PeopleFemaleHumansIncidenceIntensive Care UnitsMaleMiddle AgedNomogramsPrognosisClinical characteristicsMortalityNomogramRisk factorsSepsisSevere community-acquired pneumonia

Identifiers

PMID40316949
PMCPMC12048926

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.