Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40316751›Full record

ArticleSurgical endoscopy2025

Automated machine learning model for predicting anastomotic strictures after esophageal cancer surgery: a retrospective cohort study.

Junxi Hu, Qingwen Liu, Wenbo He, Jun Wu, Dong Zhang, Chao Sun, Shichun Lu, Xiaolin Wang, Yusheng Shu

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Surgical endoscopy, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Junxi Hu *Clinical Medical College, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, 225001, China.
Qingwen Liu *Department of Thoracic Surgery, Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital, Yangzhou, 225001, China.
Wenbo HeDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital, Yangzhou, 225001, China.
Jun WuClinical Medical College, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, 225001, China.
Dong ZhangClinical Medical College, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, 225001, China.
Chao SunClinical Medical College, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, 225001, China.
Shichun LuClinical Medical College, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, 225001, China.
Xiaolin WangClinical Medical College, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, 225001, China. 18051063909@yzu.edu.cn.
Yusheng ShuClinical Medical College, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, 225001, China. shuyusheng34@163.com.

Funding

Jiangsu Provincial Health Commission Research Project on Elderly Health LKZ2022019Yangzhou Innovation Capability Building Design Plan Project YZ2022168Yangzhou Social Development and Clinical Frontier Technology Project YZ2021078Yangzhou Social Development and Clinical Frontier Technology Project YZ2023084
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAnastomotic strictures (AS) frequently occurs in patients following esophageal cancer surgery, significantly affecting their long-term quality of life. This study aims to develop a machine learning model to predict high-risk AS, enabling early intervention and precise management.

methodsA total of 1549 patients underwent radical esophageal cancer surgery and were split into a training set (1084) and a validation set (465). Adaptive Synthetic Sampling (ADASYN) handled class imbalance, while Boruta and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) with cross-validation refined key features. High-correlation features (r > 0.8) were assessed using variance inflation factors (VIFs) and clinical relevance. Machine learning models were trained and evaluated using area under curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis improved model interpretability.

resultsSeven critical variables were finalized, including anastomotic leakage (AL), neoadjuvant therapy (NCRT), suture method (SM), endoscopic assistance (EA), white blood cell count (WBC), albumin (Alb), and Suture site (SS). The Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM) model achieved the highest AUC, with 0.886 in the training set and 0.872 in the validation set. Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) analysis indicated that AL, SM, and NCRT were the most significant variables for model predictions.

conclusionThe GBM machine learning model constructed in this study can effectively identify high-risk patients for AS following esophageal cancer surgery, offering strong support for earlier postoperative detection and precise clinical management.

Indexed as

Esophageal NeoplasmsEsophageal StenosisEsophagectomyMachine LearningPostoperative ComplicationsAgedAnastomosis, SurgicalAnastomotic LeakFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentAnastomotic stricturesEsophageal cancerMachine learningRisk factorSHAP algorithms

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.