Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40313866›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.)2025

Compound drought and heatwave extreme weather events: Mortality risk in individuals with chronic respiratory disease.

Austin Rau, Arianne K Baldomero, Jesse E Bell, Jared Rennie, Chris H Wendt, Gillian A M Tarr, Bruce H Alexander, Jesse D Berman

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Austin RauDivision of Environmental Health Sciences, University of Minnesota School of Public Health, Minneapolis, Minnesota.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5818-4864
Arianne K BaldomeroPulmonary, Allergy, Critical Care, and Sleep Medicine Section, Minneapolis VA Health Care System, Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Jesse E BellUniversity of Nebraska, Daugherty Water for Food Global Institute, Lincoln, Nebraska.
Jared RennieNational Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Centers for Environmental Information, Asheville, North Carolina.
Chris H WendtPulmonary, Allergy, Critical Care, and Sleep Medicine Section, Minneapolis VA Health Care System, Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Gillian A M TarrDivision of Environmental Health Sciences, University of Minnesota School of Public Health, Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Bruce H AlexanderDivision of Environmental Health Sciences, University of Minnesota School of Public Health, Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Jesse D BermanDivision of Environmental Health Sciences, University of Minnesota School of Public Health, Minneapolis, Minnesota.

Funding

Air Pollution and Mortality Risk in Veterans with Chronic Respiratory Disease: Assessing the Role of Individual and Place-Based Risk FactorsR01ES036225 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI Jesse David Berman · 2024 to 2026
$991k
NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES036225
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Compound extreme weather events are severe weather conditions that can jointly magnify human health risks beyond any single event alone. Drought and heatwaves are extreme weather conditions associated with adverse health, but their combined impact is poorly understood. Methods: We designed a case-crossover study to estimate heatwave-associated mortality stratified by drought conditions in 183,725 US Veteran patients (2016-2021) with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). A conditional logistic regression with distributed lag models was applied. Droughts were categorized into binary and categorical metrics, and we further explored the timing of heatwaves as a risk factor. Results: Our results indicate that drought amplifies heatwaves with hotter temperatures and longer durations during drought conditions, and the percentage of mortality attributable to heatwaves during drought was 7.41% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.91, 12.28) compared with 2.91% (95% CI: 0.00, 4.76) for heatwaves during nondrought conditions. Heatwaves that occurred during drought conditions in the late warm season had a larger association with mortality compared with late-season heatwaves during nondrought conditions, 7.41% (95% CI: 1.96, 13.04) of mortality events and 0.99% (95% CI: -1.01, 3.85) of mortality events attributable to these exposures, respectively. Conclusion: Compound drought and heatwave events trend toward increased mortality risk among patients with COPD and present a growing human health threat under climate change. Existing heat warnings and vulnerability maps may include drought conditions to better capture heat-related public health risks.

Indexed as

Compounding climate hazardCOPDDroughtHeatwaveMortality

Identifiers

PMID40313866
PMCPMC12045549

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.