Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40311650›Full record

Observational studyThe Lancet. Respiratory medicine2025

Rare variants and survival of patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: analysis of a multicentre, observational cohort study with independent validation.

Aitana Alonso-González, David Jáspez, José M Lorenzo-Salazar, Shwu-Fan Ma, Emma Strickland, Josyf Mychaleckyj, John S Kim, Yong Huang, Ayodeji Adegunsoye, Justin M Oldham and 14 more

Abstract readMulticenter StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in The Lancet. Respiratory medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Multi-omics insights into the mechanisms and prognosis of IPF.Genes and environment : the official journal of the Japanese Environmental Mutagen Society · 2026
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Observational
  5. Review
  6. Age-dependent Genetic Risk in Pulmonary Fibrosis Patients and Relatives.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  7. S100A8Frontiers in immunology · 2026
    Article
  8. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors.

Aitana Alonso-GonzálezResearch Unit, Hospital Universitario Nuestra Señora de Candelaria, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Canarias, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain.
David JáspezGenomics Division, Instituto Tecnológico y de Energías Renovables, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain.
José M Lorenzo-SalazarGenomics Division, Instituto Tecnológico y de Energías Renovables, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain.
Shwu-Fan MaDivision of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA.
Emma StricklandDivision of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA.
Josyf MychaleckyjCenter for Public Health Genomics, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA.
John S KimDivision of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA.
Yong HuangDivision of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA.
Ayodeji AdegunsoyeSection of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Justin M OldhamDivision of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Iain StewartNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Philip L MolyneauxNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK; Royal Brompton and Harefield Hospitals, Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Toby M MaherNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK; Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Louise V WainDepartment of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK; National Institute for Health Research, Leicester Respiratory Biomedical Research Centre, Glenfield Hospital, Leicester, UK; Department of Cell and Developmental Biology, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA.
Richard J AllenDepartment of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK; National Institute for Health Research, Leicester Respiratory Biomedical Research Centre, Glenfield Hospital, Leicester, UK.
R Gisli JenkinsNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Jonathan A KropskiDepartment of Cell and Developmental Biology, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA; Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA; Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA.
Brian YaspanGenentech, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Timothy S BlackwellDepartment of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
David ZhangDepartment of Medicine, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, NY, USA.
Christine Kim GarciaDepartment of Medicine, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, NY, USA; and Columbia Precision Medicine Initiative, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, NY, USA.
Fernando J MartinezWeill Cornell Medical Center, New York, NY, USA.
Imre NothDivision of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA.
Carlos FloresResearch Unit, Hospital Universitario Nuestra Señora de Candelaria, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Canarias, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain; Genomics Division, Instituto Tecnológico y de Energías Renovables, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain; Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Fernando Pessoa Canarias, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain; CIBER de Enfermedades Respiratorias (CIBERES), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain. Electronic address: cflores@ull.edu.es.

Funding

Project 4: Defining the Molecular Natural History of Early and Progressive Pulmonary FibrosisP01HL172729 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Jonathan Andrew Kropski · 2024 to 2026
$11.2M
Pulmonary Fibrosis and Telomerase DysfunctionR01HL093096 · NHLBI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI GARCIA, CHRISTINE KIM · 2009 to 2024
$6.9M
Proteomic Profiling of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Progression TrajectoryR01HL169166 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Justin M Oldham · 2023 to 2026
$2.7M
The role of quantitative CT and radiomic biomarkers for precision medicine in pulmonary fibrosisR01HL171918 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF VIRGINIA · PI Imre Noth · 2024 to 2026
$2.2M
Prognostic Biomarker Development in Progressive Fibrosing Interstitial Lung DiseaseR01HL166290 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Justin M Oldham · 2024 to 2026
$2.2M
Targeting dysfunctional epithelial repair in pulmonary fibrosisR01HL175555 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Timothy S. Blackwell · 2024 to 2026
$1.9M
1/2 Prospective tReatment EffiCacy in IPF uSlng genOtype for Nac Selection (PRECISIONS) trial and Molecular Endophenotyping in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis and Interstitial Lung Diseases studyUG3HL145266 · NHLBI · WEILL MEDICAL COLL OF CORNELL UNIV · PI MARTINEZ, FERNANDO J, NOTH, IMRE · 2019 to 2019
$977k
Improving Pulmonary Fibrosis Classification with Genomics Informed Phenotypic ClustersK23HL146942 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI ADEGUNSOYE, AYODEJI · 2020 to 2024
$810k
BLRD VA I01 BX002378NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL146942NHLBI NIH HHS P01 HL172729NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL093096NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL166290NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL169166NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL171918NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL175555NHLBI NIH HHS UG3 HL145266
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRare pathogenic variants in telomere-related genes are associated with poorer clinical outcomes in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). We aimed to assess whether rare qualifying variants in monogenic adult-onset pulmonary fibrosis genes are associated with IPF survival. Using polygenic risk scores (PRS), we also evaluated the influence of common IPF risk variants in patients carrying the qualifying variants.

methodsWe identified qualifying variants in telomere and non-telomere genes using whole-genome sequences from individuals clinically diagnosed with IPF and enrolled in the Pulmonary Fibrosis Foundation Patient Registry (PFFPR), a large multicentre, observational cohort study (March 29, 2016 to June 15, 2018, n=888). We also derived a PRS for IPF (PRS-IPF) from known common sentinel IPF variants. The primary outcome was the association between qualifying variants and survival. The secondary outcome was the association between qualifying variants and PRS-IPF. We used logistic regression models adjusted for sex, age at diagnosis, and principal components of genetic heterogeneity to examine the mutual relationship of qualifying variants and PRS-IPF. The association between qualifying variants and PRS-IPF with survival was tested using Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for baseline confounders. Validation of the results was sought in data from an independent multicentre, prospective, observational cohort study of IPF in the UK (PROFILE, May 17, 2010 to Sept 5, 2017, n=472), and results were meta-analysed under a fixed-effects model.

findingsWe included 888 patients from PFFPR and 472 from PROFILE, totalling 1360 participants. In the PFFPR, carriers of qualifying variants in monogenic adult-onset pulmonary fibrosis genes were associated with lower PRS-IPF (odds ratio 1·79 [95% CI 1·15-2·81]; p=0·010) and shorter survival (hazard ratio 1·53 [1·12-2·10]; p=7·33 × 10

interpretationWe found non-additive effects between qualifying variants and common risk variants in IPF survival, suggesting distinct disease subtypes and raising the possibility of using PRS to guide sequencing prioritisation. Assessing the carrier status for qualifying variants and modelling PRS-IPF promises to further contribute to predicting disease progression among patients with IPF.

fundingInstituto de Salud Carlos III; Instituto Tecnológico y de Eenergías Renovables; Cabildo Insular de Tenerife; Fundación DISA; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute of the US National Institutes of Health; and UK Medical Research Council.

Indexed as

Idiopathic Pulmonary FibrosisAgedCohort StudiesFemaleGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseGenetic VariationHumansMaleMiddle Aged

Identifiers

PMID40311650
PMCPMC12117017

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.