Detecting Older Adults' Behavior Changes During Adverse External Events Using Ambient Sensing: Longitudinal Observational Study.

Background: Older adults manage multiple impacts on health, including chronic conditions and adverse external events. Smart homes are positioned to have a positive impact on older adults' health by (1) allowing new understandings of behavior change so risks associated with external events can be assessed, (2) quantifying the impact of social determinants on health, and (3) designing interventions that respond appropriately to detected behavior changes. Information derived from smart home sensors can provide objective data about behavior changes to support a learning health care system. In this paper, we introduce a smart home capable of detecting behavior changes that occur during adverse external events like pandemics and wildfires. Objective: Examine digital markers collected before and during 2 events (the COVID-19 pandemic and wildfires) to determine whether clinically relevant behavior changes can be observed and targeted upstream interventions suggested. Methods: Secondary analysis of historic ambient sensor data collected on 39 adults managing one or more chronic conditions was performed. Interrupted time series analysis was used to extract behavior markers related to external events. Comparisons were made to examine differences between exposures using machine learning classifiers. Results: Behavior changes were detected for 2 adverse external events (the COVID-19 pandemic and wildfire smoke) initially and over time. However, the direction and magnitude of change differed between participants and events. Significant pandemic-related behavior changes ranked by impact included a decrease in time (3.8 hours/day) spent out of home, an increase in restless sleep (946.74%), and a decrease in indoor activity (38.89%). Although participants exhibited less restless sleep during exposure to wildfire smoke (120%), they also decreased their indoor activity (114.29%). Sleep duration trended downward during the pandemic shutdown. Time out of home and sleep duration gradually decreased while exposed to wildfire smoke. Behavior trends differed across exposures. In total, two key discoveries were made: (1) using retrospective analysis, the smart home was capable of detecting behavior changes related to 2 external events; and (2) older adults' sleep efficiency, time out of home, and overall activity levels changed while experiencing external events. These behavior markers can inform future sensor-based monitoring research and clinical application. Conclusions: Sensor-based findings could support individualized interventions aimed at sustaining the health of older adults during events like pandemics and wildfires. Creating care plans that directly respond to sensor-derived health information, like adding guided indoor exercise, web-based socialization sessions, and mental health-promoting activities, would have practical impacts on wellness. The smart home's novel, evidence-based information could inform future management of chronic conditions, allowing nurses to understand patients' health-related behaviors between the care points so timely, individualized interventions are possible.