Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40307873›Full record

ArticleNephrology, dialysis, transplantation : official publication of the European Dialysis and Transplant Association - European Renal Association2025

CKD progression, kidney failure, and mortality among US patients with IgA nephropathy.

John J Sim, Qiaoling Chen, Nancy Cannizzaro, Ancilla W Fernandes, Cibele Pinto, Simran K Bhandari, John Chang, Asher D Schachter, Mohit Mathur

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nephrology, dialysis, transplantation : official publication of the European Dialysis and Transplant Association - European Renal Association, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  7. Re-evaluation of the prognosis of patients with IgA nephropathy and mild proteinuria: a longitudinal study with unexpected results.Inflammation research : official journal of the European Histamine Research Society ... [et al.] · 2026
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  8. Albuminuria or proteinuria in glomerular disease and CKD-which one to use?Nephrology, dialysis, transplantation : official publication of the European Dialysis and Transplant Association - European Renal Association · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

John J SimDepartment of Nephrology and Hypertension, Kaiser Permanente Los Angeles Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9456-8243
Qiaoling ChenDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, CA, USA.
Nancy CannizzaroDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, CA, USA.
Ancilla W FernandesOtsuka Pharmaceutical Development and Commercialization, Inc., Princeton, NJ, USA.
Cibele PintoOtsuka Pharmaceutical Development and Commercialization, Inc., Princeton, NJ, USA.
Simran K BhandariDepartment of Clinical Science, Kaiser Permanente Bernard J. Tyson School of Medicine, Pasadena, CA, USA.
John ChangDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, CA, USA.
Asher D SchachterVisterra, Inc., Waltham, MA, USA.
Mohit MathurVisterra, Inc., Waltham, MA, USA.

Funding

Otsuka Pharmaceutical Development and Commercialization
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

background and hypothesisWe assessed disease progression among patients with immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) and characterized factors associated with risk for adverse outcomes.

methodsA retrospective longitudinal cohort (2000-2022) study of adults with biopsy-confirmed IgAN within Kaiser Permanente Southern California was performed. The outcome of interest was a composite of ≥50% estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline, kidney failure, or mortality. Cox proportional hazards regression modeling was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) for the eGFR decline/kidney failure with adjustment for potential confounders.

resultsAmong 655 patients with primary IgAN (31% Asian/Pacific Islander, 3% Black, 40% Hispanic/Latino, 24% White), 234 (36%) reached the composite outcome of ≥50% eGFR decline (17%), kidney failure (16%), or mortality (3%). The composite outcome occurred at a rate of 79.4 events (95% confidence intervals (CI) 69.6, 90.7) per 1000 patient-years, with a median time to event of 2.7 years. Compared to urine protein creatinine ratio (UPCR) <0.5 vs 0.5-<1 g/g, 1-2, and >2 g/g, the HR (95% CI) for ≥50% eGFR decline/kidney failure were 2.4 (1.1, 5.1), 3.2 (1.5, 6.6), and 5.1 (2.5, 10.4) for baseline UPCR and 5.4 (2.3, 13.0), 14.4 (16.5, 32.2), and 41.2 (17.9, 94.5) for time-averaged UPCR. Lower baseline eGFR and diabetes were also associated with higher risk, while age ≥30 years was associated with lower risk for ≥50% eGFR decline/kidney failure. There were no clear trends differentiating risk by race/ethnicity.

conclusionIn this large, diverse cohort, high rates of kidney outcomes occurred within a relatively short follow-up duration. Our findings suggest that IgAN carries elevated risk for kidney outcomes starting at proteinuria levels ≥0.5 g/g, in contrast to earlier perceptions that levels below 1 g/g are associated with low risk.

Indexed as

Glomerulonephritis, IGAKidney Failure, ChronicRenal InsufficiencyRenal Insufficiency, ChronicAdultDisease ProgressionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesGlomerular Filtration RateHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsepidemiologyIgANimmunoglobulin A nephropathykidney failure

Identifiers

PMID40307873
PMCPMC12559788

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.