Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40307256›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Clinical characteristics, prognosis, and nomogram for upper esophageal cancer: a SEER database analysis.

Dong Yang, Zifeng Liu, Jingwei Xie

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

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2citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Dong YangOncology Department, Affiliated Hospital of Jining Medical University, Jining, 272000, Shandong, People's Republic of China.
Zifeng LiuOncology Department, Jining No. 1 People's Hospital, #6Jiankang Road, Jining, 272029, Shandong, People's Republic of China. liuzifengde@126.com.
Jingwei XieGeneral Surgery Department, The Third Hospital of Qinhuangdao, #222Jianguo Road, Haigang District, Qinhuangdao, 066005, Hebei, People's Republic of China. xiejingwei1981@163.com.

Funding

Jining Research and Development Program 2023YXNS046
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Upper esophageal cancer (ESCA) is a distinct subtype of ESCA that accounts for < 10% of ESCA cases. However, its unique clinical characteristics remain unclear, and without specialized prognostic model. We aimed to clarify its unique clinical characteristics and develop a specialized prognostic model. Data for a total of 1371 upper ESCA cases and 15,434 cases of ESCA at other segments were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Compared with that of patients with ESCA at other segments, a greater proportion of patients with upper ESCA were older and female; had an abnormal marital status; had tumors at the T4 stage, N0 stage, and M0 stage; and had squamous cell carcinoma and differentiation grade II. Moreover, the prognosis of upper ESCA was significantly poorer, and the constituent ratio stratified by the above characteristics from 2004 to 2015 showed no significant changes of average annual percent change (AAPC). Cox regression analysis was used to identify independent prognostic factors. Age, sex, marital status, histologic type, grade, and T, N and M stage were included in the development of the nomogram. The C-indexes of the training cohort and validation cohort were 0.64 (95% CI 0.62-0.66) and 0.62 (95% CI 0.58-0.64), respectively. The area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) results confirmed the good performance of the upper ESCA model. The C-index, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), net reclassification improvement (NRI), time-dependent AUC, and DCA and survival analysis results confirmed that the upper ESCA model performed better than the TNM model in predicting the prognosis of upper ESCA. Finally, compared with the total ESCA model, which is based on a total of 16,805 ESCA cases, the upper ESCA model showed better performance in predicting the prognosis of upper ESCA. In conclusion, we outlined the unique clinical characteristics of upper ESCA and developed a specialized prognostic model that exhibited better performance in predicting the prognosis of upper ESCA than did the TNM model and total ESCA model.

Indexed as

Esophageal NeoplasmsNomogramsAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm StagingPrognosisSEER ProgramAnd end results (SEER)Area under the curve (AUC)Average annual percent change (AAPC)Decision curve analysis (DCA)EpidemiologySurveillanceUpper esophageal cancer

Identifiers

PMID40307256
PMCPMC12043816

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.