Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40305550›Full record

ArticlePloS one2025

Economic evaluation of Wolbachia deployment in Colombia: A modeling study.

Donald S Shepard, Samantha R Lee, Yara A Halasa-Rappel, Carlos Willian Rincon Perez, Arturo Harker Roa

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In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Donald S ShepardHeller School for Social Policy and Management, Brandeis University, Waltham, Massachusetts, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-2187-0593
Samantha R LeeHeller School for Social Policy and Management, Brandeis University, Waltham, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Yara A Halasa-RappelHeller School for Social Policy and Management, Brandeis University, Waltham, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Carlos Willian Rincon PerezSchool of Government, University of Los Andes, Bogotá, Colombia.
Arturo Harker RoaSchool of Government, University of Los Andes, Bogotá, Colombia.

Funding

Gates Foundation OPP1187889Wellcome Trust 224459/Z/21/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsWolbachia are bacteria that inhibit dengue virus replication within the mosquito. A cluster-randomized trial in Indonesia found Wolbachia reduced virologically-confirmed dengue cases by 77.1%. Previous models predicted Wolbachia to be highly cost-effective in Indonesia, Vietnam, and Brazil. To inform decisions about future extensions in Colombia, we performed economic evaluations of potential Wolbachia deployments in 11 target cities.

methodsWe assembled the numbers and distribution by severity of reported dengue cases from Colombia's national disease surveillance system and the health service provision registry (RIPS). An epidemiological panel of three experts estimated the shares of dengue that were non-medical, under-reported, or misreported as another disease. We determined costs (in 2020 US dollars at market prices) of treating dengue illness from the benchmark insurance tariff and RIPS data on treatment services per symptomatic dengue case. Our central estimates projected 10 years of efficacy and focused on Cali, the target city with the highest number of dengue cases.

resultsFor Cali, we estimated a net health-sector savings of US$4.95 per person and averting 369 disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) per 100,000 population. From a societal perspective, at 10 years Wolbachia deployment is expected to have highly favorable benefit-cost ratios, with benefits per dollar invested of US$5.50 in Cali and US$4.68 over all target cities.

conclusionsOver 10 years, Wolbachia is highly beneficial on economic grounds, and almost universally cost saving. The Wolbachia program's economic benefits exceeded its costs in all 11 cities. The program's savings in healthcare costs alone would more than offset deployment costs nationally and in 9 of 11 target cities. Wolbachia is likely to be the most cost-effective or cost-saving dengue control option in municipalities with both high incidence of dengue and high population density, whereas areas with high dengue incidence but low population density should consider vaccination.

Indexed as

DengueModels, EconomicWolbachiaAnimalsColombiaCost-Benefit AnalysisHumans

Identifiers

PMID40305550
PMCPMC12043165

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.