Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40303017›Full record

ArticleTransboundary and emerging diseases2024

Environmental and Historical Determinants of African Horse Sickness: Insights from Predictive Modeling.

KwangHyok Kim, TianGang Xu, Arivizhivendhan Kannan Villalan, TianYing Chi, XiaoJing Yu, MyongIl Jin, RenNa Wu, GuanYing Ni, ShiFeng Sui, ZhiLiang Wang and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Transboundary and emerging diseases, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

KwangHyok KimCollege of Wildlife and Protected Area Northeast Forestry University, Harbin, Heilongjiang Province, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0374-6775
TianGang XuChina Animal Health and Epidemiology Center, Qingdao, Shandong Province, China.
Arivizhivendhan Kannan VillalanCollege of Wildlife and Protected Area Northeast Forestry University, Harbin, Heilongjiang Province, China.
TianYing ChiChina Animal Health and Epidemiology Center, Qingdao, Shandong Province, China.
XiaoJing YuChina Animal Health and Epidemiology Center, Qingdao, Shandong Province, China.
MyongIl JinKyeungsang Sariwon University of Agriculture, Sariwon, Democratic People's Republic of Korea.
RenNa WuHaiXi Animal Disease Control Center, Delingha, Qinghai Province, China.
GuanYing NiHaiXi Animal Disease Control Center, Delingha, Qinghai Province, China.
ShiFeng SuiZhaoyuan Forest Resources Monitoring and Protection Service Center, Zhaoyuan, Shandong Province, China.
ZhiLiang WangChina Animal Health and Epidemiology Center, Qingdao, Shandong Province, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0994-6842
XiaoLong WangCollege of Wildlife and Protected Area Northeast Forestry University, Harbin, Heilongjiang Province, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8006-8632

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

African horse sickness (AHS) is a viral disease transmitted by arthropods that impacts Equidae, specifically horses and related species. Recognized as a notifiable disease by the World Organisation for Animal Health (WOAH), AHS is associated with a high mortality rate of 80%-90% in susceptible hosts and exhibits rapid transmission dynamics. Historical records document numerous instances of mass horse deaths attributed to AHS, with recent occurrences in Thailand and Malaysia in 2020 causing heightened concerns within the local horse industry. The lack of a comprehensive global perspective on the distribution and transmission of AHS poses challenges in comprehending and implementing effective prevention and control strategies. This study marks a pioneering effort in analyzing the global epidemiological patterns of AHS across different regions. By employing predictive modeling with a comprehensive set of environmental variables, we uncovered overarching global patterns in AHS dynamics, a first in this field. Our analysis revealed significant regional differences influenced by specific climatic conditions, highlighting the disease's complexity. The study also identifies new high-risk areas for AHS, underscoring the necessity for regionally tailored disease management strategies. Despite some limitations, such as the exclusion of wild equine data, this research offers critical insights for global AHS intervention and prevention, setting a path for future research incorporating broader datasets and socioeconomic factors.

Indexed as

African Horse SicknessAnimalsEnvironmentHorsesRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID40303017
PMCPMC12017013

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.