Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40301358›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Model-free estimation of completeness, uncertainties, and outliers in atomistic machine learning using information theory.

Daniel Schwalbe-Koda, Sebastien Hamel, Babak Sadigh, Fei Zhou, Vincenzo Lordi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Sustainable Materials Design With Multi-Modal Artificial Intelligence.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2026
    Review
  2. Medium-Range Structural Order in Amorphous Arsenic.Journal of the American Chemical Society · 2026
    Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Daniel Schwalbe-KodaLawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, 94550, USA. dskoda@ucla.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9176-0854
Sebastien HamelLawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, 94550, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4246-0892
Babak SadighLawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, 94550, USA.
Fei ZhouLawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, 94550, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9659-4648
Vincenzo LordiLawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, 94550, USA. lordi2@llnl.gov.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2415-4656

Funding

DOE | LDRD | Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) 22-ERD-055DOE | LDRD | Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) 23-SI-006U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) DE-SC0025642
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

An accurate description of information is relevant for a range of problems in atomistic machine learning (ML), such as crafting training sets, performing uncertainty quantification (UQ), or extracting physical insights from large datasets. However, atomistic ML often relies on unsupervised learning or model predictions to analyze information contents from simulation or training data. Here, we introduce a theoretical framework that provides a rigorous, model-free tool to quantify information contents in atomistic simulations. We demonstrate that the information entropy of a distribution of atom-centered environments explains known heuristics in ML potential developments, from training set sizes to dataset optimality. Using this tool, we propose a model-free UQ method that reliably predicts epistemic uncertainty and detects out-of-distribution samples, including rare events in systems such as nucleation. This method provides a general tool for data-driven atomistic modeling and combines efforts in ML, simulations, and physical explainability.

Identifiers

PMID40301358
PMCPMC12041501

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.