Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40296590›Full record

ArticleThoracic cancer2025

The Burden of Esophageal Cancer in Five East Asian Countries From 1990 to 2021 and Its Prediction Until 2036: An Analysis of the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2021.

Tianhao Guo, Yumo Yuan, Tingting Zhou, Yifan Hui, Yuhan Wang, Wenjian Zhu, Weixing Shen, Liu Li, Yu Yang, Haibo Cheng

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Thoracic cancer, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Tianhao GuoInstitute of Health and Regimen, Jiangsu Open University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8899-2328
Yumo YuanSchool of Elderly Care Services and Management, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0008-3446-2402
Tingting ZhouWangjing Hospital of the China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0007-3880-4935
Yifan HuiJiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center of Traditional Chinese Medicine Prevention and Treatment of Tumor, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0364-9449
Yuhan WangInstitute of Health and Regimen, Jiangsu Open University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Wenjian ZhuJiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center of Traditional Chinese Medicine Prevention and Treatment of Tumor, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5292-661X
Weixing ShenJiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center of Traditional Chinese Medicine Prevention and Treatment of Tumor, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Liu LiJiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center of Traditional Chinese Medicine Prevention and Treatment of Tumor, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Yu YangDepartment of Surgical Oncology, Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Haibo ChengJiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center of Traditional Chinese Medicine Prevention and Treatment of Tumor, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3329-2225

Funding

General Project of Universities' Philosophy and Social Science in Jiangsu Province 2024SJYB0564Innovation Team and Talents Cultivation Program of National Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine ZYYCXTD-C-202208NATCM's Project of High-level Construction of Key TCM Disciplines [2023]85National Key R&D Program of China 2022YFC3500200National Key R&D Program of China 2022YFC3500202Postgraduate Research & Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province SJCX22_0706Qing Lan Project of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions [2023]27
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn 2022, esophageal cancer (EC) was the eleventh most frequently diagnosed cancer and the seventh leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. Nonetheless, the prevalence and burden of EC in Asian countries have been little studied. This study investigated the prevalence, incidence, and burden of EC in five East Asian countries from 1990 to 2021.

methodsWe retrieved data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 on the prevalence, incidence, mortality, years lived with disability (YLDs), years of life lost (YLLs), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with EC in five East Asian countries from 1990 to 2021. The epidemiological characteristics of EC were analyzed by joinpoint regression, age-period-cohort analysis, and decomposition analysis. The burden of EC until 2036 was estimated using autoregressive integrated moving average and Bayesian age-period-cohort models.

resultsAmong these East Asian countries, China had the highest incidence, prevalence, mortality rates, YLLs, YLDs, and DALYs in 1990 and 2021. China and Mongolia exhibited the highest age-standardized incidence rate, age-standardized mortality rate, age-standardized prevalence rate, age-standardized YLDs rate, age-standardized YLLs rate, and age-standardized DALYs rate from 1990 to 2036. The age group with the highest prevalence rate, incidence rate, mortality rate, YLDs rate, YLLs rate, and DALYs rate in these countries was ≥ 55 years. The prevalence and incidence rates in the five countries were influenced by aging and were higher than the global average.

conclusionsThe burden of EC in five East Asian countries was high over the past three decades, particularly among older adults. EC is a significant public health problem in these countries, particularly because of the large population base and aging demographics.

Indexed as

Esophageal NeoplasmsGlobal Burden of DiseaseAdultAgedAsia, EasternCost of IllnessDisability-Adjusted Life YearsEast Asian PeopleFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceQuality-Adjusted Life YearsRisk Factorsage‐period‐cohort analysisdisease burdenepidemiological studyesophageal cancerglobal burden of disease studyjoinpoint regression analysisprediction models

Identifiers

PMID40296590
PMCPMC12038174

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.