Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40295744›Full record

ArticleNpj viruses2023

Singapore COVID-19 data cross-validation by the Gaidai reliability method.

Oleg Gaidai, Vladimir Yakimov, Jiayao Sun, Eric-Jan van Loon

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Npj viruses, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Oleg GaidaiShanghai Ocean University, Shanghai, China. o_gaidai@just.edu.cn.
Vladimir YakimovJiangsu University of Science and Technology, Zhenjiang, China. YakimovVV@cniimf.ru.
Jiayao SunCentral Marine Research and Design Institute, Saint Petersburg, Russia.
Eric-Jan van LoonGhent University, Ghent, Belgium.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Novel coronavirus infection (COVID-19) has exserted certain burden on global public health, spreading around the world with reportedly low mortality and morbidity. This study advocates novel bio and health system reliability approach, especially suitable for multi-regional environmental and health systems. Advocated spatiotemporal method has been cross-validated, versus well established bivariate Weibull method, based on available raw clinical dataset. The purpose of this study was to assess risks of excessive coronavirus death rates, that may occur within any given time horizon, and in any region or district of interest. This study aims at benchmarking of the novel Gaidai bio-reliability method, allowing accurate assessment of national public health system risks, for the years to come. Novel bio-system reliability approach is particularly suitable for multi-regional environmental and health systems, monitored for a sufficiently representative period of time. In case when underlying bio-system is stationary, or the underlying trend is known, long-term future death rate risk assessment can be done, and confidence intervals can be generated. Advocated methodology may to be useful for a wide variety of public health applications, thus, it is not limited to the example, considered here.

Identifiers

PMID40295744
PMCPMC11721124

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.