Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40293398›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of epidemiology2026

Immune-selection stability is a neglected property of the causal risk ratio.

Marco Piccininni, Mats J Stensrud

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of epidemiology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. A simple and powerful test of vaccine waning.American journal of epidemiology · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Marco PiccininniDigital Health - Machine Learning Research Group, Hasso Plattner Institute for Digital Engineering, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-1397-0060
Mats J StensrudInstitute of Mathematics, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-9641-1936

Funding

Swiss National Science Foundation 200021_207436
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Risk ratios are one of the most commonly used effect measures in epidemiology. Yet their properties and transportability across different populations remain debated. In this article, we show that the causal risk ratio is stable to selection based on immune status. For example, the causal risk ratio remains unchanged when individuals who cannot experience the outcome regardless of the assigned treatment, are excluded from a study. We call this property "immune-selection stability" (ISS). The ISS can help researchers justify the transportability of the risk ratio, based on explicit arguments about the data generating mechanism. An isomorphic property holds for survival ratios when selecting individuals based on doomed status. Despite extensive debates on the properties of risk ratios, the ISS has received little attention. We highlight its practical relevance and discuss implications for interpreting, comparing, and transporting estimates across populations.

Indexed as

CausalityHumansOdds Ratiocausal inferencegeneralizabilityinfectious diseasesrelative risktransportability

Identifiers

PMID40293398
PMCPMC13270066

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.