Predictive Factors and Nomogram (MAP-BNP) for Post Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy Survival in Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients.

Background: Stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) is a widely recognized approach for managing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), particularly in its advanced stages, with prognosis highly dependent on tumour burden and baseline liver function. This study aimed to develop a predictive model and nomogram that incorporates these factors to improve survival outcomes in advanced HCC patients treated with SBRT and systemic therapy. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed records of 110 patients with advanced HCC treated with SBRT between May 2020 and April 2023. Inclusion criteria included age ≥18 years, cirrhosis, and suitability for SBRT. Results: The median age was 63 years (range 28-84), with viral cirrhosis (40.9%) and NASH (38.2%) as the main aetiologies. At presentation, 83.6% of patients had portal vein thrombosis, 32.7% had nodal metastasis, and 50% had distant metastasis. The median tumour diameter was 9 cm, and 73.6% of patients had the multifocal disease.A median SBRT dose of 35 Gy (range 25-45 Gy) in 5 fractions was administered. Significant reductions in tumour markers were noted at three months: AFP levels dropped from a median of 309.75 ng/ml to 62 ng/ml ( Conclusion: The MAP-BNP nomogram, integrating tumour burden and liver function, provides a more individualized approach for predicting survival in advanced HCC patients treated with SBRT and systemic therapy, outperforming traditional staging systems.