Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40288793›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2025

Predictive modelling methods of hospital readmission risks for patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD): a systematic review protocol.

Balkissa Tonde, Metogara Mohamed Traore, Paolo Landa, André Côté, Maude Laberge

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Balkissa TondeDepartment of Operations and Decision Systems, Université Laval, Quebec, Quebec, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0009-5074-7974
Metogara Mohamed TraoreVitam, Centre de recherche en santé durable - Université Laval, Quebec, Quebec, Canada.
Paolo LandaDepartment of Operations and Decision Systems, Université Laval, Quebec, Quebec, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6532-6747
André CôtéVitam, Centre de recherche en santé durable - Université Laval, Quebec, Quebec, Canada.
Maude LabergeVitam, Centre de recherche en santé durable - Université Laval, Quebec, Quebec, Canada maude.laberge@fmed.ulaval.ca.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1274-136X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionChronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a significant chronic respiratory condition characterised by persistent airway obstruction, leading to substantial morbidity and mortality worldwide. Patients with COPD frequently experience hospital readmissions shortly after discharge, mainly due to acute exacerbations. This review aims to identify and synthesise the reported performance metrics and methodological limitations of different predictive modelling methods for hospital readmissions in COPD patients. METHOD AND ANALYSIS: This protocol adheres to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analysis Protocols (PRISMA-P) guidelines. The review will include studies that develop or validate predictive models for hospital readmissions in COPD patients. A comprehensive search will be conducted across PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, IEEE Xplore, Web of Science and Google Scholar using predefined keywords. Eligible studies will include those utilising any predictive modelling method, focusing on unplanned readmissions within specified timeframes (30, 60 or 90 days). Two independent reviewers will screen titles, abstracts and full texts, selecting studies based on predefined inclusion criteria.Data extraction will be conducted based on the CHecklist for critical Appraisal and data extraction for systematic Reviews of prediction Modelling Studies (CHARMS), and the methodological quality and risk of bias will be assessed using the Prediction Model Risk Of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST).The results will be synthesised narratively. A meta-analysis using a random-effects model will be conducted if at least five external validation studies are available for the same prediction model. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This research is based exclusively on published studies and does not involve the collection of primary data collection from patients. Therefore, ethical approval is not required. Findings will be disseminated through publications in peer-reviewed journals and presentations at national and international conferences. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42024579524.

Indexed as

Patient ReadmissionPulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveHumansResearch DesignRisk AssessmentSystematic Reviews as TopicHospitalizationMachine LearningPrognosisPulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID40288793
PMCPMC12035438

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.