Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40287872›Full record

SynthesisEuropean radiology2025

Detection rates for prostate cancer using PI-RADS 2.1 upgrading rules in transition zone lesions align with risk assessment categories: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Georgios Agrotis, Eduardo Pais Pooch, Kostas Marsitopoulos, Marianna Vlychou, Matthias Benndorf, Regina G H Beets-Tan, Ivo G Schoots

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in European radiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. The evolving PI-RADS paradigm.Cancer imaging : the official publication of the International Cancer Imaging Society · 2026
    Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Georgios AgrotisDepartment of Radiology, The Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands. g.agrotis@nki.nl.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3752-1315
Eduardo Pais PoochDepartment of Radiology, The Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Kostas MarsitopoulosDepartment of Radiology, University Hospital of Larissa, Larissa, Greece.
Marianna VlychouDepartment of Radiology, University Hospital of Larissa, Larissa, Greece.
Matthias BenndorfDepartment of Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology, Medical Faculty OWL, University of Bielefeld, Klinikum Lippe, Detmold, Germany.
Regina G H Beets-TanDepartment of Radiology, The Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Ivo G SchootsDepartment of Radiology, The Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo evaluate and compare cancer detection rates (CDRs) of transition zone (TZ) lesions upgraded from PI-RADSv2.1 score 2 to 3 ("2 + 1") or from 3 to 4 ("3 + 1") using DWI and assess their clinical impact. MATERIALS AND

methodsA systematic literature search was performed in Embase, Medline, and Web of Science for studies assessing TZ lesions with DWI in PI-RADSv2.1, with histology-confirmed grade group ≥ 2 cancer (GG ≥ 2) as the primary outcome. Risk of bias was evaluated using QUADAS-2. Pooled sensitivity, specificity, CDRs, and odds ratios (ORs) were estimated at the lesion level using a bivariate binomial random-effects model.

resultsEight studies with 1535 TZ lesions were included. GG ≥ 2 CDRs for PI-RADS scores of 1, 2, 2 + 1, 3, 3 + 1, 4, and 5 were 2% (95%CI: 0%-12%), 6% (4%-10%), 13% (6%-23%), 19% (15%-25%), 37% (24%-52%), 49% (32%-67%), and 73% (66%-79%), respectively. Scores of 2 + 1 had higher GG ≥ 2 CDRs than 2 (OR 3.37 (1.53-7.44), p = 0.003) but were similar to 3 (OR 0.80 (0.44-1.45), p = 0.46). Scores of 3 + 1 had higher GG ≥ 2 CDRs than 3 (OR 2.67 (1.27-5.59), p = 0.009) but were similar to 4 (OR 0.68 (0.33-1.44), p = 0.32). False-positive rates remained substantial (≥ 2 + 1: 69% (55%-80%); ≥ 3: 54% (46%-62%)).

conclusionThe risk of having significant prostate cancer in "2 + 1" and "3 + 1" TZ lesions, with an upgrading based on DWI images, is appropriately categorized within the PI-RADS v2.1 scoring system, as shown by this meta-analysis. KEY POINTS: Question PI-RADS v2.1 incorporates rules allowing scores of some transition zone (TZ) lesions to be increased. Literature on the clinical impact of these rules is scarce. Findings For TZ lesions upgraded with DWI: "2 + 1" lesions show a cancer detection rate (CDR) of 13%, and "3 + 1" lesions show a CDR of 37%. Clinical relevance Upgraded TZ lesions may impact individualized biopsy-decisions, especially as "3 + 1" lesions harbor significant disease in 2-out-of-5 patients. Still, the high rate of grade group = 1 and benign findings in these sub-categories emphasizes the need for strategies to minimize overdiagnosis.

Indexed as

Diffusion Magnetic Resonance ImagingProstatic NeoplasmsHumansMaleNeoplasm GradingRisk AssessmentSensitivity and SpecificityClinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa)Diffusion-weighted imagingMagnetic imaging resonance (MRI)Prostate neoplasmTransition zone

Identifiers

PMID40287872
PMCPMC12417277

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.