Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40287717›Full record

ArticleJournal of orthopaedic surgery and research2025

Machine learning-based prediction of the necessity for the surgical treatment of distal radius fractures.

Jongmin Lim, Sehun Chang, Kwangsu Kim, Hee Jin Park, Eugene Kim, Seok Woo Hong

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of orthopaedic surgery and research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. A Computer Vision and Machine Learning Approach to Classify Views in Distal Radius Radiographs.Journal of orthopaedic research : official publication of the Orthopaedic Research Society · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Jongmin Lim *Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Sungkyunkwan University College of Computing and Informatics, Suwon, South Korea.
Sehun Chang *Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Sungkyunkwan University College of Computing and Informatics, Suwon, South Korea.
Kwangsu KimDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, Sungkyunkwan University College of Computing and Informatics, Suwon, South Korea.
Hee Jin ParkDepartment of Radiology, Kangbuk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Eugene KimDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Kangbuk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Seok Woo HongDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Kangbuk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea. poisoxic@naver.com.

Funding

Korea Internet & Security Agency (KISA) RS-2023-00231200National Research Foundation of Korea RS-2022-00165960
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTreatments for distal radius fractures (DRFs) are determined by various factors. Therefore, quantitative or qualitative tools have been introduced to assist in deciding the treatment approach. This study aimed to develop a machine learning (ML) model that determines the need for surgical treatment in patients with DRFs using a ML model that incorporates various clinical data concatenated with plain radiographs in the anteroposterior and lateral views.

methodsRadiographic and clinical data from 1,139 patients were collected and used to train the ML models. To analyze and integrate data effectively, the proposed ML model was mainly composed of a U-Net-based image feature extractor for radiographs, a multilayer perceptron based clinical feature extractor for clinical data, and a final classifier that combined the extracted features to predict the necessity of surgical treatment. To promote interpretability and support clinical adoption, Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping (Grad-CAM) was employed to provide visual insights into the radiographic data. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) were utilized to elucidate the contributions of each clinical feature to the predictions of the model.

resultsThe model integrating image and clinical data achieved accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of 92.98%, 93.28%, and 92.55%, respectively, in predicting the need for surgical treatment in patients with DRFs. These findings demonstrate the enhanced performance of the integrated model compared to the image-only model. In the Grad-CAM heatmaps, key regions such as the radiocarpal joint, volar, and dorsal cortex of the radial metaphysis were highlighted, indicating critical areas for model training. The SHAP results indicated that being female and having subsequent or concomitant fractures were strongly associated with the need for surgical treatment.

conclusionsThe proposed ML models may assist in assessing the need for surgical treatment in patients with DRFs. By improving the accuracy of treatment decisions, this model may enhance the success rate of fracture treatments, guiding clinical decisions and improving efficiency in clinical settings.

Indexed as

Machine LearningRadius FracturesAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRadiographyWrist FracturesClinical data integrationFracture managementGrad-CAMSHAPSurgical decision-makingU-Net

Identifiers

PMID40287717
PMCPMC12032687

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.