Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40287120›Full record

ArticleAmerican heart journal2025

Opportunistic assessment of abdominal aortic calcification using artificial intelligence (AI) predicts coronary artery disease and cardiovascular events.

Jeffrey S Berger, Chen Lyu, Eduardo Iturrate, Malte Westerhoff, Soterios Gyftopoulos, Bari Dane, Judy Zhong, Michael Recht, Miriam A Bredella

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American heart journal, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Jeffrey S BergerCardiology Division, Department of Medicine, NYU Langone Health and Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY.
Chen LyuDivision of Biostatistics, Department of Population Health, NYU Langone Health and Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY.
Eduardo IturrateDepartment of Medicine, NYU Langone Health and Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY.
Malte WesterhoffVisage Imaging, GmbH, Berlin, Germany.
Soterios GyftopoulosDepartment of Radiology, NYU Langone Health and Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY.
Bari DaneDepartment of Radiology, NYU Langone Health and Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY.
Judy ZhongDivision of Biostatistics, Department of Population Health, NYU Langone Health and Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY; Division of Biostatistics, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, NY.
Michael RechtDepartment of Radiology, NYU Langone Health and Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY.
Miriam A BredellaDepartment of Radiology, NYU Langone Health and Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY. Electronic address: Miriam.Bredella@nyulangone.org.

Funding

Project-005UL1TR001445 · NCATS · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI BREDELLA, MIRIAM ANTOINETTE, HOCHMAN, JUDITH S · 2015 to 2025
$103.5M
Mechanisms of Platelet Activity in Vascular DiseaseR35HL144993 · NHLBI · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI BERGER, JEFFREY S · 2019 to 2025
$5.5M
EHR-based vs population-based CVD risk predictions for older patients with diabetesR01AG065330 · NIA · WEILL MEDICAL COLL OF CORNELL UNIV · PI ZHONG, HUA JUDY · 2020 to 2024
$2.9M
Personalized Risk Predictions with Deep Learning Methods in the Presence of Missing and Biased Electronic Health Record DataR01LM013344 · NLM · WEILL MEDICAL COLL OF CORNELL UNIV · PI SMYTH, PADHRAIC, ZHONG, HUA JUDY · 2021 to 2024
$1.3M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001445NHLBI NIH HHS R35 HL144993NIA NIH HHS R01 AG065330NLM NIH HHS R01 LM013344
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAbdominal computed tomography (CT) is commonly performed in adults. Abdominal aortic calcification (AAC) can be visualized and quantified using artificial intelligence (AI) on CTs performed for other clinical purposes (opportunistic CT). We sought to investigate the value of AI-enabled AAC quantification as a predictor of coronary artery disease and its association with cardiovascular events.

methodsA fully automated AI algorithm to quantify AAC from the diaphragm to aortic bifurcation using the Agatston score was retrospectively applied to a cohort of patient that underwent both noncontrast abdominal CT for routine clinical care and cardiac CT for coronary artery calcification (CAC) assessment. Subjects were followed for a median of 36 months for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE, composite of death, myocardial infarction [MI], ischemic stroke, coronary revascularization) and major coronary events (MCE, MI or coronary revascularization). The 10-year Predicting Risk of cardiovascular disease EVENTs (PREVENT) cardiovascular risk score was calculated.

resultsOur cohort included 3599 patients (median age 61 years, 49% female, 73% white) with an evaluable abdominal and cardiac CT. There was a positive correlation between presence and severity of AAC and CAC (r = 0.56, P < .001). AAC showed excellent discriminatory power for detecting or ruling out any CAC (AUC for PREVENT risk score 0.701 [0.683-0.718]; AUC for PREVENT plus AAC 0.782 [0.767-0.797]; P < .001). There were 324 MACE, of which 246 were MCE. Following adjustment for the PREVENT score, the presence of AAC was associated with a significant risk of MACE (adjHR 2.26, 95% CI 1.67-3.07, P < .001) and MCE (adjHR 2.58, 95% CI 1.80-3.71, P < .001). A doubling of the AAC score resulted in an 11% increase in the risk of MACE and a 13% increase in the risk of MCE.

conclusionsUsing opportunistic abdominal CTs, assessment of AAC using a fully automated AI algorithm, predicted CAC and was independently associated with cardiovascular events. These data support the use of opportunistic imaging for cardiovascular risk assessment. Future studies should investigate whether opportunistic imaging can help guide appropriate cardiovascular prevention strategies.

Indexed as

Aorta, AbdominalAortic DiseasesArtificial IntelligenceCoronary Artery DiseaseTomography, X-Ray ComputedVascular CalcificationAgedAlgorithmsFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRetrospective StudiesRisk Assessment

Identifiers

PMID40287120
PMCPMC12145238

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.