Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40285477›Full record

Observational studyInflammatory bowel diseases2025

Fecal Microbiome Reflects Disease State and Prognosis in Inflammatory Bowel Disease in an Adult Population-Based Inception Cohort.

Simen Hyll Hansen, Maria Gjerstad Maseng, Olle Grännö, Marie V Vestergaard, Corinna Bang, Bjørn C Olsen, Charlotte Lund, Christine Olbjørn, Emma E Løvlund, Florin B Vikskjold and 23 more

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Inflammatory bowel diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

33 authors.

Simen Hyll HansenNorwegian PSC Research Center, Department of Transplantation Medicine, Division of Surgery, Inflammatory Diseases and Transplantation, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0000-0003-0156-9875
Maria Gjerstad MasengInstitute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0000-0003-3053-0267
Olle GrännöSchool of Medical Sciences, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-4329-1659
Marie V VestergaardCenter for Molecular Prediction of Inflammatory Bowel Disease, PREDICT, Department of Clinical Medicine, Aalborg University, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0009-0006-1409-1945
Corinna BangInstitute of Clinical Molecular Biology, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Kiel, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-6814-6151
Bjørn C OlsenInstitute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Charlotte LundInstitute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Christine OlbjørnDepartment of Pediatric and Adolescent Medicine, Akershus University Hospital, Lørenskog, Norway.
Emma E LøvlundDepartment of Pediatric and Adolescent Medicine, Østfold Hospital Trust, Kalnes, Norway.
Florin B VikskjoldDepartment of Pediatric and Adolescent Medicine, Drammen Hospital, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Drammen, Norway.
Gert Huppertz-HaussDepartment of Gastroenterology, Telemark Hospital, Skien, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-5693-8773
Gøri PerminowDepartment of Pediatrics, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Hussain YassinDepartment of Pediatrics, Telemark Hospital Kjørbekk, Skien, Norway.
Jørgen ValeurInstitute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0000-0001-7193-7069
Kristina I Aass HoltenInstitute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0009-0007-4041-2623
Magne HenriksenDepartment of Gastroenterology, Østfold Hospital Trust, Grålum, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-8067-5838
May-Bente BengtsonDepartment of Gastroenterology, Vestfold Hospital Trust, Tonsberg, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-5615-7141
Petr RicanekDepartment of Gastroenterology, Lovisenberg Diaconal Hospital, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0000-0003-2454-7388
Randi OpheimDepartment of Gastroenterology, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-0513-1435
Raziye BoyarDepartment of Medicine, Diakonhjemmet Hospital, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0000-0001-6534-0573
Roald TorpMedical Department, Innlandet Hospital Trust, Hamar, Norway.
Svein O FrigstadDepartment of Medicine, Bærum Hospital, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Gjettum, Norway.
Tone Bergene AabrekkInstitute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Trond Espen DetlieInstitute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Vendel A KristensenInstitute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-0876-8634
Vibeke StrandeDepartment of Gastroenterology, Lovisenberg Diaconal Hospital, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0009-0004-9121-6807
Øistein HovdeInstitute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0000-0003-4662-4153
Øyvind AsakDepartment of Gastroenterology, Innlandet Hospital Trust, Lillehammer, Norway.
Tine JessCenter for Molecular Prediction of Inflammatory Bowel Disease, PREDICT, Department of Clinical Medicine, Aalborg University, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Andre FrankeInstitute of Clinical Molecular Biology, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Kiel, Germany.
Jonas HalfvarssonDepartment of Gastroenterology, Faculty of Medicine and Health, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-0122-7234
Marte L HøivikInstitute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-0104-465X
Johannes R HovNorwegian PSC Research Center, Department of Transplantation Medicine, Division of Surgery, Inflammatory Diseases and Transplantation, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-5900-8096

Funding

Bio-Me ASDam FoundationDFG Excellence Cluster 2167DFG Research UnitNational Research Foundation DNRF148Norwegian South-Eastern Health AuthoritiesPfizerRegional Health Authorities South-Eastern Norway 2020066Research Council of Norway 327634Tillotts Pharma
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionWe aimed to determine the diagnostic and prognostic potential of baseline microbiome profiling in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD).

methodsParticipants with ulcerative colitis (UC), Crohn's disease (CD), suspected IBD, and non-IBD symptomatic controls were included in the prospective population-based cohort Inflammatory Bowel Disease in South-Eastern Norway III (third iteration) based on suspicion of IBD. The participants donated fecal samples that were analyzed with 16S rRNA sequencing. Disease course severity was evaluated at the 1-year follow-up. A stringent statistical consensus approach for differential abundance analysis with 3 different tools was applied, together with machine learning modeling.

resultsA total of 1404 individuals were included, where n = 1229 samples from adults were used in the main analyses (n = 658 UC, n = 324 CD, n = 36 IBD-U, n = 67 suspected IBD, and n = 144 non-IBD symptomatic controls). Microbiome profiles were compared with biochemical markers in machine learning models to differentiate IBD from non-IBD symptomatic controls (area under the receiver operating curve [AUC] 0.75-0.79). For UC vs controls, integrating microbiome data with biochemical markers like fecal calprotectin mildly improved classification (AUC 0.83 to 0.86, P < .0001). Extensive differences in microbiome composition between UC and CD were identified, which could be quantified as an index of differentially abundant genera. This index was validated across published datasets from 3 continents. The UC-CD index discriminated between ileal and colonic CD (linear regression, P = .008) and between colonic CD and UC (P = .005), suggesting a location-dependent gradient. Microbiome profiles outperformed biochemical markers in predicting a severe disease course in UC (AUC 0.72 vs 0.65, P < .0001), even in those with a mild disease at baseline (AUC 0.66 vs 0.59, P < .0001).

conclusionsFecal microbiome profiling at baseline held limited potential to diagnose IBD from non-IBD compared with standard-of-care. However, microbiome shows promise for predicting future disease courses in UC.

Indexed as

Colitis, UlcerativeCrohn DiseaseFecesGastrointestinal MicrobiomeAdultBiomarkersCase-Control StudiesFemaleHumansLeukocyte L1 Antigen ComplexLinear ModelsMachine LearningMaleMiddle AgedNorwayPredictive Value of TestsBiomarkersLeukocyte L1 Antigen ComplexRNA, Ribosomal, 16SCrohn’s diseaseIBSENmachine learningulcerative colitis

Identifiers

PMID40285477
PMCPMC12491950

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.