Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40281696›Full record

ArticleBioengineering (Basel, Switzerland)2025

Using Interpretable Artificial Intelligence Algorithms in the Management of Blunt Splenic Trauma: Applications of Optimal Policy Trees as a Treatment Prescription Aid to Improve Patient Mortality.

Vahe S Panossian, Yu Ma, Bolin Song, Jefferson A Proaño-Zamudio, Veerle P C van Zon, Ikemsinachi C Nzenwa, Azadeh Tabari, George C Velmahos, Haytham M A Kaafarani, Dimitris Bertsimas and 1 more

Abstract read
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Article in Bioengineering (Basel, Switzerland), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

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1citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Vahe S PanossianDivision of Trauma, Emergency Surgery, Surgical Critical Care, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02114, USA.
Yu MaOperations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8409-7222
Bolin SongOperations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1927-746X
Jefferson A Proaño-ZamudioDivision of Trauma, Emergency Surgery, Surgical Critical Care, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02114, USA.
Veerle P C van ZonDivision of Trauma, Emergency Surgery, Surgical Critical Care, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02114, USA.
Ikemsinachi C NzenwaDivision of Trauma, Emergency Surgery, Surgical Critical Care, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02114, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1131-5505
Azadeh TabariDepartment of Radiology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02114, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5685-6401
George C VelmahosDivision of Trauma, Emergency Surgery, Surgical Critical Care, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02114, USA.
Haytham M A KaafaraniDivision of Trauma, Emergency Surgery, Surgical Critical Care, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02114, USA.
Dimitris BertsimasOperations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA.
Dania DayeDepartment of Radiology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02114, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2230-7199

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe identification of the optimal management for blunt splenic trauma-angioembolization (AE), splenectomy, or observation-remains a challenge. This study applies Optimal Policy Trees (OPT), an artificial intelligence (AI) model, to prescribe appropriate management and improve in-hospital mortality.

methodsOPTs were trained on patients with blunt splenic injuries in the ACS-TQIP 2013-2019 to prescribe one of the three interventions: splenectomy, angioembolization (AE), or observation. Prescriptive trees were derived in two separate patient cohorts: those who presented with a systolic blood pressure (SBP) < 70 mmHg and those with an SBP ≥ 70 mmHg. Splenic injury severity was graded using the American Association of Surgical Trauma (AAST) grading scale. Counterfactual estimation was used to predict the effects of interventions on overall in-hospital mortality.

resultsAmong 54,345 patients, 3.1% underwent splenic AE, 13.1% splenectomy, and 83.8% were managed with observation. In patients with SBP < 70 mmHg, AE was recommended for shock index (SI) < 1.5 or without transfusion, while splenectomy was indicated for SI ≥ 1.5 with transfusion. For patients with SBP ≥ 70 mmHg, AE was recommended for AAST grades 4-5, or grades 1-3 with SI ≥ 1.2; observation was recommended for grades 1-3 with SI < 1.2. Predicted mortality using OPT-prescribed treatments was 18.4% for SBP < 70 mmHg and 4.97% for SBP ≥ 70 mmHg, compared to observed rates of 36.46% and 7.60%, respectively.

conclusionsInterpretable AI models may serve as a decision aid to improve mortality in patients presenting with a blunt splenic injury. Our data-driven prescriptive OPT models may aid in prescribing the appropriate management in this patient cohort based on their characteristics.

Indexed as

artificial intelligencedata-driven decision makingpersonalized medicinespleentrauma

Identifiers

PMID40281696
PMCPMC12024711

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