Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40281606›Full record

ArticleParasites & vectors2025

Assessing current and future areas of ecological suitability for Lutzomyia shannoni in North America.

Sydney DeWinter, Grace K Nichol, Christopher Fernandez-Prada, Amy L Greer, J Scott Weese, Katie M Clow

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Parasites & vectors, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Sydney DeWinterDepartment of Population Medicine, Ontario Veterinary College, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, Canada. sdewinte@uoguelph.ca.
Grace K NicholDepartment of Population Medicine, Ontario Veterinary College, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, Canada.
Christopher Fernandez-PradaDepartment of Pathology and Microbiology, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Montreal, Saint-Hyacinthe, QC, Canada.
Amy L GreerDepartment of Biology, Trent University, Peterborough, ON, Canada.
J Scott WeeseDepartment of Pathobiology, Ontario Veterinary College, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, Canada.
Katie M ClowDepartment of Population Medicine, Ontario Veterinary College, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn the Americas, sand flies of the Lutzomyia genus are the vectors of pathogens of human and animal health significance. Lutzomyia shannoni is suspected to transmit vesicular stomatitis virus, along with Leishmania mexicana and Leishmania infantum (causative agents of leishmaniases). Despite the suspected vector potential of Lu. shannoni, significant knowledge gaps remain, including how ongoing climate changes could facilitate their range expansion. The objectives of this study were to predict the current and future ecological suitability of regions across North America for Lu. shannoni and to identify variables driving ecological suitability.

methodsOccurrence records were obtained from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility, Disease Vectors Database, the National Museum of Natural History (Smithsonian Institution) and published literature on Lu. shannoni surveillance and capture. Historical climate data from 1991-2020, along with projection data for Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2-4.5 and 3-7.0 were obtained. An additional terrestrial ecoregions layer was applied. The ecological niche model was created using maximum entropy (MaxEnt) algorithms to identify regions which currently are or may become ecologically suitable for Lu. shannoni.

resultsCurrently, regions in eastern, western and southern Mexico, along with the Midwest, southeastern and eastern regions of the USA are ecologically suitable for Lu. shannoni. In the future, ecological suitability for Lu. shannoni is expected to increase slightly in the northeastern regions of the USA and in Atlantic Canada, and to decrease in the southeastern reaches of Mexico. Degree-days below 0 °C (spring and autumn), precipitation as snow (summer and winter), terrestrial ecoregions, number of frost-free days (summer), Hargreaves climatic moisture deficit (summer), degree-days above 5 °C (autumn) and Hogg's climatic moisture index (summer) were all identified as predictors of ecological suitability.

conclusionsThe findings from this study identified climate and environmental variables driving the ecological suitability of regions for Lu. shannoni and can be used to inform public health professionals of high-risk regions for exposure at present and into the future.

Indexed as

Animal DistributionEcosystemInsect VectorsPsychodidaeAnimalsClimateClimate ChangeHumansNorth AmericaClimate changeEcological niche modelingEcological suitabilityLeishmania spp.Lutzomyia shannoniRange expansionVesicular stomatitis virus

Identifiers

PMID40281606
PMCPMC12032769

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.