Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40280867›Full record

ArticleJNCI cancer spectrum2025

Associations between early tumor shrinkage/depth of response and survival from the ARCAD database.

Hideaki Bando, Yuriko Takeda, Toshihiro Misumi, Tomomi Nishikawa, Masashi Wakabayashi, Kentaro Yamazaki, Eiji Oki, Jean-Yves Douillard, Cornelis J A Punt, Miriam Koopman and 9 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JNCI cancer spectrum, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Hideaki BandoDepartment of Gastroenterology and Gastrointestinal Oncology, National Cancer Center Hospital East, Chiba, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-5041-2765
Yuriko TakedaDepartment of Data Science, National Cancer Center Hospital East, Chiba, Japan.
Toshihiro MisumiDepartment of Data Science, National Cancer Center Hospital East, Chiba, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-8339-2895
Tomomi NishikawaDepartment of Data Science, National Cancer Center Hospital East, Chiba, Japan.
Masashi WakabayashiDepartment of Data Science, National Cancer Center Hospital East, Chiba, Japan.
Kentaro YamazakiDivision of Gastrointestinal Oncology, Shizuoka Cancer Center, Shizuoka, Japan.
Eiji OkiDepartment of Surgery and Science, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-9763-9366
Jean-Yves DouillardMedical Oncology Department, Integrated Centers for Oncology Nantes, Nantes, France.
Cornelis J A PuntDepartment of Epidemiology, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre, Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-4196-4896
Miriam KoopmanDepartment of Epidemiology, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre, Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-1550-1978
Eric Van CutsemDepartment of Gastrointestinal and Liver Diseases, Digestive Oncology Unit, University Hospital Gasthuisberg and University of Leuven (KUL), Leuven, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-6372-1230
Carsten BokemeyerDepartment of Oncology, Hematology and Bone Marrow Transplantation With Section of Pneumology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
Alan P VenookDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-9749-6548
Heinz-Josef LenzDepartment of Gastrointestinal Oncology, Keck School of Medicine at USC, Los Angeles, CA, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-2178-9568
Yoshihiko MaeharaKyushu Central Hospital of the Mutual Aid Association of Public School Teachers, Fukuoka, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-1532-3537
Thierry AndreDepartment of Medical Oncology, Sorbonne University, Hospital Saint Antoine, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0002-5103-7095
Qian ShiDepartment of Quantitative Science Research, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-4640-8832
Aimery de GramontDepartment of Medical Oncology, Franco-British Institute, Levallois-Perret, France.ORCID 0000-0001-7940-9877
Takayuki YoshinoDepartment of Gastroenterology and Gastrointestinal Oncology, National Cancer Center Hospital East, Chiba, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-0489-4756

Funding

ARCAD AsiaARCAD FoundationNational Cancer Center Research and Development Fund 2021-A-12National Cancer Center Research and Development Fund 2024-A-08
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEarly tumor shrinkage and depth of response have emerged as potential prognostic indicators in metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC). However, their associations with overall survival, progression-free survival (PFS), and postprogression survival in patients receiving anti-epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) antibodies or bevacizumab remain unclear.

methodsWe analyzed 3219 treatment-naive patients with RAS wild-type metastatic CRC from 8 randomized studies (CRYSTAL, OPUS, PRIME, CAIRO2, CALGB80405, WJOG4407G, ATOM, PARADIGM) in the Aid and Research in Digestive Cancerology database. Early tumor shrinkage was defined as a 20% or more reduction in tumor size at 8 ± 2 weeks, whereas depth of response was assessed by maximum tumor shrinkage at nadir. Cox regression models evaluated the associations of early tumor shrinkage and depth of response with overall survival, PFS, and postprogression survival, adjusting for confounders. A 2-sided test was conducted with a significance level of .05.

resultsEarly tumor shrinkage and depth of response substantially stratified overall survival, PFS, and postprogression survival outcomes across all treatment groups. Early tumor shrinkage positivity was associated with improved overall survival, PFS, and postprogression survival in anti-EGFR and bevacizumab-based therapies, with a trend toward better outcomes in the anti-EGFR group. The depth of response analysis revealed optimal cutoff values of 0.55 for anti-EGFR-based therapy and 0.47 for bevacizumab-based therapy to achieve a median overall survival of approximately 32 months.

conclusionsEarly tumor shrinkage and depth of response serve as valuable prognostic markers in RAS wild-type metastatic CRC, particularly for patients treated with anti-EGFR antibodies. These findings highlight the potential role of early tumor shrinkage and depth of response in guiding treatment strategies and improving outcomes for patients with CRC.

Indexed as

Antineoplastic Agents, ImmunologicalBevacizumabColorectal NeoplasmsAgedCetuximabDatabases, FactualErbB ReceptorsFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisProgression-Free SurvivalProportional Hazards ModelsRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicTumor BurdenAntineoplastic Agents, ImmunologicalBevacizumabCetuximabErbB Receptors

Identifiers

PMID40280867
PMCPMC12159729

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.