Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40279884›Full record

ArticleESMO open2025

Tumor-informed ctDNA assay to predict recurrence in locally advanced squamous-cell carcinoma of the head and neck (SCCHN).

N Honoré, G Laliotis, V Aushev, S Velichko, C Palsuledesai, H Dahou, C van Marcke, R Galot, M Liu, J-P H Machiels

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in ESMO open, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
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  7. Immune biomarkers for head and neck cancer.Cancer immunology, immunotherapy : CII · 2025
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  9. Review
  10. Tumor-Informed ctDNA Assay to Predict Outcome in Recurrent and/or Metastatic Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Head and Neck Treated with PD-1 Inhibitor.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2025
    Article
  11. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

N HonoréPôle oncologie, Institut de Recherche Clinique et Expérimentale, Université catholique de Louvain (UCLouvain), Brussels, Belgium; Department of Medical Oncology, Institut Roi Albert II, Cliniques universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium.
G LaliotisNatera, Inc., Austin, USA.
V AushevNatera, Inc., Austin, USA.
S VelichkoNatera, Inc., Austin, USA.
C PalsuledesaiNatera, Inc., Austin, USA.
H DahouPôle oncologie, Institut de Recherche Clinique et Expérimentale, Université catholique de Louvain (UCLouvain), Brussels, Belgium.
C van MarckePôle oncologie, Institut de Recherche Clinique et Expérimentale, Université catholique de Louvain (UCLouvain), Brussels, Belgium; Department of Medical Oncology, Institut Roi Albert II, Cliniques universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium.
R GalotPôle oncologie, Institut de Recherche Clinique et Expérimentale, Université catholique de Louvain (UCLouvain), Brussels, Belgium; Department of Medical Oncology, Institut Roi Albert II, Cliniques universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium.
M LiuNatera, Inc., Austin, USA.
J-P H MachielsPôle oncologie, Institut de Recherche Clinique et Expérimentale, Université catholique de Louvain (UCLouvain), Brussels, Belgium; Department of Medical Oncology, Institut Roi Albert II, Cliniques universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium. Electronic address: jean-pascal.machiels@saintluc.uclouvain.be.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDespite multimodal treatment, locally advanced (LA) squamous-cell carcinoma of the head and neck (SCCHN) has a recurrence rate of ∼50%. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has emerged as a potential biomarker for minimal residual disease detection after curative-intent treatment. This strategy could be used to identify the patients at greater risk of recurrence, for whom extended or intensified therapy and/or surveillance imaging may be considered. MATERIALS AND

methodsA personalized, tumor-informed 16-plex multiplex PCR-next-generation sequencing assay was used for the detection of ctDNA in banked plasma samples collected pre-treatment (baseline time point) and within 12 weeks from the end of curative-intent treatment (post-treatment time point). The primary and secondary endpoints were recurrence-free-survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) of post-treatment ctDNA-positive and -negative patients, respectively.

resultsOut of a cohort of 50 patients with LA SCCHN, personalized ctDNA assays were successfully designed for 43 patients. Among these 43 patients, ctDNA was detected in 42 of 43 (97.6%) patients at baseline. At the post-treatment time point, ctDNA was detected in 4 of 42 (9.5%) patients, 3 of whom relapsed. Of the 43 patients, 11 (26%) experienced disease recurrence within 2 years of follow-up. Patients with post-treatment ctDNA positivity demonstrated a significantly inferior RFS and OS (P ≤ 0.05), compared with ctDNA-negative patients. The median lead time for ctDNA positivity over clinical recurrence was 7.0 months (range 3.6-7.1 months).

conclusionsThe personalized, tumor-informed assay detected pre-treatment ctDNA in the majority of the patients with LA SCCHN. ctDNA positivity within 12 weeks of completing curative-intent treatment was predictive of worse RFS and OS. These results support studies to assess the value of longitudinal testing for surveillance and may open the path to initiating treatment upon molecular recurrence in patients with LA SCCHN.

Indexed as

Biomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNAHead and Neck NeoplasmsNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalSquamous Cell Carcinoma of Head and NeckAdultAgedFemaleHigh-Throughput Nucleotide SequencingHumansMaleMiddle AgedBiomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNActDNAMRDSCCHNtumor-informed assay

Identifiers

PMID40279884
PMCPMC12245435

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.