Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40279425›Full record

ArticleScience advances2025

A dynamical geography of observed trends in the global ocean.

Bruno Buongiorno Nardelli, Daniele Iudicone

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Bruno Buongiorno NardelliConsiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Istituto di Scienze Marine, Napoli, Italy.
Daniele IudiconeStazione Zoologica Anton Dohrn, Napoli, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Revealing the ongoing changes in ocean dynamics and their impact on marine ecosystems requires the joint analysis of multiple variables. However, global observational records only cover a few decades, posing a challenge in the separation of climatic trends from internal dynamical modes. Here, we apply an empirical stochastic model to identify the emergent patterns of trends in six fundamental components of upper ocean physics. We analyze a data-driven reconstruction of the ocean state covering the 1993-2018 period. We found that including temporal derivatives in the state vector enhances the description of the ocean's dynamical system. Once Pacific oscillations are properly accounted for, averaged surface warming appears >60% faster, and a deep reshaping of the seascape is revealed. A clustering of the trend patterns identifies the main factors that drive observed trends in chlorophyll a concentration. This data-driven approach provides a wider framework for empirical climate modeling.

Identifiers

PMID40279425
PMCPMC12024654

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.