Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40276216›Full record

ArticleHemaSphere2025

High-risk features of early relapse in newly-diagnosed multiple myeloma: The impact of cytogenetics and response to initial therapy.

Andrea Manubens, Bruno Paiva, Norma C Gutiérrez, Manuela Fernandez, Maria-José Calasanz, Laura Rosiñol, Albert Oriol, Ma Jesús Blanchard, Estrella Carrillo, Celina Benavente and 24 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in HemaSphere, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

34 authors.

Andrea ManubensCancer Center Clínica Universidad de Navarra, CIMA, IDISNA, CIBERONC Pamplona Spain.ORCID 0009-0001-4541-6339
Bruno PaivaCancer Center Clínica Universidad de Navarra, CIMA, IDISNA, CIBERONC Pamplona Spain.
Norma C GutiérrezDepartment of Hematology University Hospital of Salamanca, IBSAL, Cancer Research Center-IBMCC (USAL-CSIC), CIBERONC Salamanca Spain.
Manuela FernandezInstituto de Investigación Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre Madrid Spain.
Maria-José CalasanzCancer Center Clínica Universidad de Navarra, CIMA, IDISNA, CIBERONC Pamplona Spain.
Laura RosiñolHospital Clinic i Provincial de Barcelona, IDIBAPS Barcelona Spain.
Albert OriolHospital Universitari Germans Trias i Pujol Badalona Spain.
Ma Jesús BlanchardHospital Ramón y Cajal Madrid Spain.
Estrella CarrilloComplejo Hospitalario Regional Virgen Del Rocío Sevilla Spain.
Celina BenaventeHospital Clínico San Carlos Madrid Spain.
Joaquín Martínez-LópezInstituto de Investigación Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre Madrid Spain.
Joan BargayHospital Universitario Son Llàtzer Palma de Mallorca Spain.
Miguel Teodoro HernándezHospital Universitario De Canarias La Laguna Spain.
Javier de la RubiaHospital Universitario la Fe, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria La Fe, School of Medicine and Dentistry Catholic University of Valencia Valencia Spain.
Yolanda GonzálezHospital Universitari Dr. Josep Trueta de Girona Girona Spain.
Miguel ParicioHospital Clínico Universitario Lozano Blesa Zaragoza Spain.
Felipe de ArribaHospital General Universitario Morales Meseguer, IMIB-Pascual Parrilla. Universidad de Murcia Murcia Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-4451-1318
Enrique M OcioHospital Universitario Marqués de Valdecilla (IDIVAL) Universidad de Cantabria Santander Spain.
Ana Isabel TeruelHospital Clínico Universitario de Valencia Valencia Spain.
Ana López de la GuiaHospital Universitario La Paz Madrid Spain.
Maialen SirventHospital Universitario de Donostia San Sebastián Spain.
Mercedes GironellaHospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron Barcelona Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-8106-8909
Antonia SampolHospital Universitario Son Espases Palma de Mallorca Spain.
José Ma ArguiñanoHospital Universitario de Navarra Pamplona Spain.
Carmen CabreraHospital Universitario de Cáceres Cáceres Spain.
Adrián AlegreHospital Universitario de La Princesa Madrid Spain.
Miquel GranellHospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau Barcelona Spain.
Valentín CabañasHospital Clínico Universitario Virgen de la Arrixaca, IMIB-Pascual Parrilla University of Murcia Murcia Spain.
Jorge M Núñez-CórdobaCancer Center Clínica Universidad de Navarra Pamplona Spain.
María Victoria MateosDepartment of Hematology University Hospital of Salamanca, IBSAL, Cancer Research Center-IBMCC (USAL-CSIC), CIBERONC Salamanca Spain.
Juan José LahuertaInstituto de Investigación Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre Madrid Spain.
Jesús F San MiguelCancer Center Clínica Universidad de Navarra, CIMA, IDISNA, CIBERONC Pamplona Spain.
Joan BladéHospital Clinic i Provincial de Barcelona, IDIBAPS Barcelona Spain.
Paula Rodriguez-OteroCancer Center Clínica Universidad de Navarra, CIMA, IDISNA, CIBERONC Pamplona Spain.ORCID 0000-0001-5236-7785

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Patients with newly-diagnosed multiple myeloma (MM) who experience early relapse (ER) have dismal overall survival (OS). Their prospective identification, either before or soon after treatment initiation, is paramount to use alternative approaches and prevent ER. In this study, we investigated the frequency and disease characteristics of ER during the first 18 months after treatment initiation (ER18), in a series of 1215 newly-diagnosed MM patients enrolled in four PETHEMA/GEM clinical trials for the transplant-eligible and transplant-ineligible populations. ER18 was observed in 266 of the 1215 patients (22%) and resulted in a median OS of 19 versus 114 months in cases without ER18. When compared to the ISS and the presence of ≥2 high-risk cytogenetic abnormalities, a modified version of the new high-risk definition from the International Myeloma Society (mHR-IMS) showed the most balanced negative and positive predictive values of ER18 (83.5% and 40%, respectively). In addition to the mHR-IMS, an ECOG = 2, ISS 3, and calcium levels ≥ 11 mg/dL were independently associated with ER18. These variables were modeled into a predictive score in which the rates of ER18 were 2%, 24.5%, and 59% in patients with low-, intermediate-, and high-risk score. The risk of ER18 and OS were modulated by the VGPR status at 6-9 months after treatment initiation. In conclusion, we present a risk model that predicts ER18 and can be readily applied in clinical trials and routine practice to identify treatment strategies empowered to prevent ER18 and improve survival outcomes of newly-diagnosed patients with functional high-risk MM.

Identifiers

PMID40276216
PMCPMC12020018

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.