Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40274793›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Change in iceberg calving behavior preceded North Sea ice shelf disintegration during the last deglaciation.

James D Kirkham, Kelly A Hogan, Robert D Larter, Neil S Arnold, Ed Self, Ken Games, Jeremy C Ely, Chris D Clark, James D Scourse, Calvin Shackleton and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

James D KirkhamBritish Antarctic Survey, High Cross, Cambridge, UK. jamkir56@bas.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0506-1625
Kelly A HoganBritish Antarctic Survey, High Cross, Cambridge, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1256-8010
Robert D LarterBritish Antarctic Survey, High Cross, Cambridge, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8414-7389
Neil S ArnoldScott Polar Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7538-3999
Ed SelfGardline Limited, Great Yarmouth, UK.
Ken GamesGardline Limited, Great Yarmouth, UK.
Jeremy C ElySchool of Geography and Planning, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4007-1500
Chris D ClarkSchool of Geography and Planning, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
James D ScourseDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Penryn, Cornwall, UK.
Calvin ShackletonNorwegian Polar Institute, Tromsø, Norway.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4534-4598
Jan Erik ArndtUniversity of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna, Department of Ecosystem Management, Climate and Biodiversity, Spatial and Infrastructure Sciences, Institute of Geomatics, Vienna, Austria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9413-1612
Claus-Dieter HillenbrandBritish Antarctic Survey, High Cross, Cambridge, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0240-7317
Mads HuuseDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1766-4343
Margaret A StewartBritish Geological Survey, The Lyell Centre, Research Avenue South, Edinburgh, UK.
Dag OttesenGeological Survey of Norway, Torgarden, Trondheim, Norway.
Julian A DowdeswellScott Polar Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1369-9482

Funding

EC | EC Seventh Framework Programm | FP7 Ideas: European Research Council (FP7-IDEAS-ERC - Specific Programme: "Ideas" Implementing the Seventh Framework Programme of the European Community for Research, Technological Development and Demonstration Activities (2007 to 2013)) 787263RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) NE/L002507/1RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) NE/R014574/1RCUK | NERC | British Antarctic Survey (BAS) British Antarctic Survey Polar Science for a Sustainable Planet programme
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Understanding how regime shifts in iceberg calving behavior affect ice shelf stability remains a challenge for numerical models. This is an important question as we consider the fate of the ice shelves that currently buttress the Antarctic Ice Sheet and hold back the bulk of its potential upstream sea-level contribution. Using buried landforms, we demonstrate that ice shelves fringed the former British-Irish Ice Sheet (BIIS) and document their disintegration ~18,000 years ago. The ice shelves produced massive (5-10 s km wide, 50-180 m thick) tabular icebergs until widespread ice shelf break-up shifted the calving regime to smaller bergs; a change that coincided with the collapse of marine-based ice across the central North Sea. We propose that the BIIS reached a climatic threshold around 18 ka which caused massive surface melting of its ice shelves, triggering hydrofracturing of crevasses that ultimately led to their disintegration and likely enhanced ice-retreat rates.

Identifiers

PMID40274793
PMCPMC12022289

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.