Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40269986›Full record

ArticleInjury epidemiology2025

The effect of child access prevention laws on adolescent suicide: a negative control approach.

Sean MacAllister, Matthew Miller, Sonja Swanson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Injury epidemiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Firearm Storage and Firearm Suicide.JAMA network open · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Sean MacAllisterDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Pittsburgh School of Public Health, 130 De Soto St, Pittsburgh, PA, 15261, USA. SAM857@pitt.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8822-2879
Matthew MillerDepartment of Public Health and Health Sciences, Northeastern University Bouvé College of Health Sciences, 360 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA, 02115, USA.
Sonja SwansonDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Pittsburgh School of Public Health, 130 De Soto St, Pittsburgh, PA, 15261, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRecent publications on Child Access Prevention (CAP) laws suggest substantial protective effects on adolescent firearm suicide. However, these studies have also found comparable protective effect estimates on adolescent non-firearm suicide and adult firearm suicide, which may indicate residual confounding. Here we apply bias analysis techniques to assess the effects of CAP laws while accounting for potential unmeasured sources of bias using a negative control approach.

methodUsing established bias formulas, we bias-adjust previously published point estimates and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) assuming that an arbitrary confounder biases all suicide-related effect estimates and that adolescent non-firearm suicide and adult firearm suicide are negative controls. Negative controls are outcomes or populations that prior subject matter suggests should not be meaningfully affected by the exposure and can be used to better understand and sometimes account for bias in the primary exposure-outcome relationship.

resultsAfter bias adjustments, effect estimates were attenuated, with many of the confidence intervals including the null. Assuming that adolescent non-firearm suicide is a negative control outcome and taking a published point estimate as the bias parameter, the bias-adjusted effect estimate for adolescent firearm suicide decreased from an incidence rate ratio of 0.87 (95% CI: 0.78, 0.97) to 0.95 (95% CI: 0.85, 1.07). When adult firearm suicide was used as the negative control, the bias-adjusted estimate was 0.92 (95% CI: 0.82, 1.03).

conclusionOur findings suggest that CAP laws may have had a smaller public health impact on adolescent suicide than previously estimated. Given the strong evidence that reducing access to firearms can prevent suicide deaths, and that secure storage helps reduce access for many children, our findings underscore the need to continue to identify and promote effective ways to motivate adults to make household firearms inaccessible to children.

Indexed as

Adolescent suicideBias analysisChild access prevention lawsFirearm suicideNegative controlsYouth firearm suicide

Identifiers

PMID40269986
PMCPMC12020014

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LicenceCC BY
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.