Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40264204›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2025

Machine learning technique-based four-autoantibody test for early detection of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: a multicenter, retrospective study with a nested case-control study.

Yi-Wei Xu, Yu-Hui Peng, Can-Tong Liu, Hao Chen, Ling-Yu Chu, Hai-Lu Chen, Zhi-Yong Wu, Wen-Qiang Wei, Li-Yan Xu, Fang-Cai Wu and 1 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Yi-Wei Xu *Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, Esophageal Cancer Prevention and Control Research Center, Chaoshan Branch of State Key Laboratory for Esophageal Cancer Prevention and Treatment, Cancer Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, 515041, China. yiwei512@126.com.
Yu-Hui Peng *Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, Esophageal Cancer Prevention and Control Research Center, Chaoshan Branch of State Key Laboratory for Esophageal Cancer Prevention and Treatment, Cancer Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, 515041, China.
Can-Tong Liu *Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, Esophageal Cancer Prevention and Control Research Center, Chaoshan Branch of State Key Laboratory for Esophageal Cancer Prevention and Treatment, Cancer Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, 515041, China.
Hao Chen *State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Collaborative Innovation Center for Cancer Medicine, Sun Yat-Sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, 510060, China.
Ling-Yu ChuDepartment of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, Esophageal Cancer Prevention and Control Research Center, Chaoshan Branch of State Key Laboratory for Esophageal Cancer Prevention and Treatment, Cancer Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, 515041, China.
Hai-Lu ChenDepartment of Surgical Oncology, Shantou Central Hospital, Shantou, 515031, China.
Zhi-Yong WuDepartment of Surgical Oncology, Shantou Central Hospital, Shantou, 515031, China.
Wen-Qiang WeiDepartment of Cancer Epidemiology, National Cancer Center/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100021, China. weiwq@cicams.ac.cn.
Li-Yan XuInstitute of Oncological Pathology, Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, 515041, China. lyxu@stu.edu.cn.
Fang-Cai WuDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Esophageal Cancer Prevention and Control Research Center, Cancer Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, 515041, China. 280550109@qq.com.
En-Min LiEsophageal Cancer Prevention and Control Research Center, Chaoshan Branch of State Key Laboratory for Esophageal Cancer Prevention and Treatment, Cancer Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, 515041, China. nmli@stu.edu.cn.

Funding

2024 Central Guidance Local Science and Technology Development Special Fund Project for Shantou Innovative City Construction STKJ2024078Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation Enterprise Joint Foundation 2022A1515220116Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation Enterprise Joint Foundation 2022A1515220180Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation Enterprise Joint Foundation 2022A1515220182Guangdong Esophageal Cancer Institute Science and Technology Program M202224National Natural Science Foundation of China 82472974Noncommunicable Chronic Diseases-National Science and Technology Major Project 2023ZD0501400Population-based Prospective Cohort Study of Esophageal Cancer and Precancerous Lesions in High-risk Areas 2016YFC0901404Science and Technology Special Fund of Guangdong Province of China STKJ202209069Youth Research Fund Project of Cancer Hospital of Shantou University Medical College 2023A005
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAutoantibodies represent promising diagnostic blood-based biomarkers that may be generated prior to the first clinically detectable signs of cancers. In present study, we aimed to identify a novel optimized autoantibody panel with high diagnostic accuracy for clinical and preclinical esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) using machine learning (ML) algorithms.

methodsWe identified potential autoantibodies against tumor-associated antigens with serological proteome analysis. Serum autoantibody levels were measured by ELISA. Using a training set (n = 531), 102 models based on ML algorithms were constructed, and Partial Least Squares Generalized Linear Models (plsRglm) was selected out using receiver operating characteristics (ROC), Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test, and Population Stability Index (PSI), and further validated through an internal validation set (n = 413), external validation set 1 (n = 371), and external validation set 2 (n = 202). Then, we validated the ability of plsRglm model in predicting preclinical ESCC by a nested case-control study (24 preclinical ESCCs and 112 matched controls) within a population-based prospective cohort study.

resultsROC analysis, K-S test, and PSI showed that plsRglm model based on four autoantibodies (ALDOA, ENO1, p53, and NY-ESO-1) exhibited the better diagnostic performance and robustness, which provided a high diagnostic accuracy in diagnosing ESCC with the respective AUCs (sensitivities and specificities) of 0.860 (68.8% and 90.4%) in the training set, 0.826 (65.3% and 89.1%) in the internal validation set, and 0.851 (69.2% and 87.3%) in the external validation set 1. For early-stage ESCC, this signature also maintained diagnostic performance [0.817 (62.3% and 90.4%) in the training set; 0.842 (62.5% and 89.1%) in the internal validation set; 0.854 (63.2% and 87.3%) in the external validation set 1; and 0.850 (67.3% and 90.1%) in the external validation set 2]. In the nested case-control study, this plsRglm model could detect the presence of preclinical ESCC with the AUC of 0.723, sensitivity of 54.2%, and specificity of 86.6%.

conclusionsOur findings indicated that the plsRglm model based on four autoantibodies might help identify preclinical and early-stage ESCC.

Indexed as

AutoantibodiesEarly Detection of CancerEsophageal NeoplasmsEsophageal Squamous Cell CarcinomaMachine LearningAgedBiomarkers, TumorCase-Control StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesROC CurveAutoantibodiesBiomarkers, TumorAutoantibodyEarly detectionEsophageal cancerMachine learning

Identifiers

PMID40264204
PMCPMC12016149

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.