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ArticleScientific reports2025

A statistical estimation of fractional order cryptosporidiosis epidemic model.

Nauman Ahmed, Wissal Audah Alhilfi, Hanan A Z AlMansury, Maysaa E A Elwahab, Muhammad Tahir, Ohud A Alqasem, Zafar Iqbal, Ali Raza, Baboucarr Ceesay, Muhammad Rafiq and 1 more

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Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Nauman AhmedDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Lahore, Lahore, Pakistan.
Wissal Audah AlhilfiDepartment of Marine Biology, Marine Science Center, University of Basrah, Basrah, Iraq.
Hanan A Z AlMansuryMarine Science Center, University of Basrah, Basrah, Iraq.
Maysaa E A ElwahabDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, College of Science, Princess Nourah Bint Abdulrahman University, P.O. Box 84428, 11671, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Muhammad TahirDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Lahore, Lahore, Pakistan.
Ohud A AlqasemDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, College of Science, Princess Nourah Bint Abdulrahman University, P.O. Box 84428, 11671, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Zafar IqbalDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Lahore, Lahore, Pakistan.
Ali RazaDepartment of Physical Sciences, The University of Chanab, Gujrat, Gujranwala, 50700, Pakistan.
Baboucarr CeesayMathematics Unit, The University of The Gambia, Serrekunda, The Gambia. bceesay@utg.edu.gm.
Muhammad RafiqDepartment of Mathematics, Namal University, 30km Talagang Road, Mianwali, 42250, Pakistan.
Ilyas KhanDepartment of Mathematics, Saveetha School of Engineering, SIMATS, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India. i.said@mu.edu.sa.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In this study, a statistical estimation is done for an epidemic model of cryptosporidiosis by changing it into a fractional order system. The disease-free equilibrium point, and the endemic equilibrium point are the two equilibrium points and Jacobian matrix theory is used to determine stability. The basic reproductive number [Formula: see text] is calculated and examined for its role in disease dynamics and stability analysis. The numerical technique named Grunwald Letnikov non-standard finite difference (GL-NSFD) scheme is designed for solving the fractional epidemic model. To investigate the characteristics and properties of numerical design, a test problem is considered for the simulation. For the underlying system, a non-classical numerical approach is suggested. The state variables cannot be negative because they describe the number of people. The suggested numerical scheme must have the properties of positivity and boundedness. The positivity and boundedness of the fractional order cryptosporidiosis epidemic model are investigated with the help of Laplace and inverse Laplace transformation. Finally, the conclusions of the study are elaborated.

Indexed as

CryptosporidiosisEpidemicsModels, StatisticalBasic Reproduction NumberComputer SimulationHumansBoundednessFractional epidemic modelGL non-standard finite difference schemesPositivitySimulationsStatistical estimation

Identifiers

PMID40263375
PMCPMC12015268

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.