Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40261185›Full record

ArticleClinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research2025

ctDNA Clearance as an Early Indicator of Improved Clinical Outcomes in Advanced NSCLC Treated with TKI: Findings from an Aggregate Analysis of Eight Clinical Trials.

Hillary S Andrews, Nevine Zariffa, Katherine K Nishimura, Stephanie H Choi, Shibing Deng, Megan Eisele, Carin R Espenschied, Emily M Goren, Minakshi Guha, Samuel Hong and 16 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

26 authors.

Hillary S AndrewsFriends of Cancer Research, Washington, District of Columbia.ORCID 0000-0002-0177-2024
Nevine ZariffaNMD Group Inc., Bala Cynwyd, Pennsylvania.ORCID 0000-0001-7412-2260
Katherine K NishimuraCancer Research and Biostatistics, Seattle, Washington.ORCID 0000-0003-3950-4495
Stephanie H ChoiEMD Serono, Washington, District of Columbia.ORCID 0009-0000-3068-0543
Shibing DengOncology R&D, Pfizer, Inc., San Diego, California.ORCID 0000-0002-2867-263X
Megan EiseleCancer Research and Biostatistics, Seattle, Washington.ORCID 0009-0005-6670-2827
Carin R EspenschiedGuardant Health, Inc., Palo Alto, California.ORCID 0000-0001-6108-7785
Emily M GorenCancer Research and Biostatistics, Seattle, Washington.ORCID 0000-0002-0202-5856
Minakshi GuhaTakeda Pharmaceuticals Inc., Cambridge, Massachusetts.ORCID 0009-0005-5010-5999
Samuel HongAgilent Technologies, Inc., Santa Clara, California.ORCID 0000-0001-7074-0176
Dilafruz JuraevaThe Healthcare Business of Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-0035-3503
Nicole KrämerBoehringer Ingelheim Pharma GmbH & Co KG., Biberach, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-8209-9141
Li LiuIllumina, Inc., San Diego, California.ORCID 0000-0001-8580-3432
Jean-Francois MartiniOncology R&D, Pfizer, Inc., San Diego, California.ORCID 0000-0001-8570-1401
Brittany A McKelveyFriends of Cancer Research, Washington, District of Columbia.ORCID 0000-0001-9239-7153
Geoffrey R OxnardLoxo@Lilly, Indianapolis, Indiana.ORCID 0000-0003-1054-8240
Gary A PestanoBiodesix Inc., Louisville, Colorado.ORCID 0000-0002-7903-2552
Lynne PooleAstraZeneca, Cambridge, United Kingdom.ORCID 0009-0002-9460-1570
Adam RosenthalCancer Research and Biostatistics, Seattle, Washington.ORCID 0009-0001-3531-6043
Anna M SzpurkaLoxo@Lilly, Indianapolis, Indiana.ORCID 0000-0002-1348-955X
Diana Merino VegaAstraZeneca, Gaithersburg, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0002-6173-6957
Christine WardTakeda Pharmaceuticals Inc., Cambridge, Massachusetts.ORCID 0000-0003-3332-5904
Sameera R WijayawardanaEli Lilly and Company, Indianapolis, Indiana.ORCID 0000-0002-5187-167X
Antje HoeringCancer Research and Biostatistics, Seattle, Washington.ORCID 0000-0002-4709-3027
Mark D StewartFriends of Cancer Research, Washington, District of Columbia.ORCID 0000-0002-4847-0736
Jeff D AllenFriends of Cancer Research, Washington, District of Columbia.ORCID 0000-0002-0586-3054

Funding

Friends of Cancer Research
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeCirculating tumor DNA (ctDNA) holds promise as an early endpoint to predict overall survival (OS). The creation and structured interrogation of aggregated datasets inform the hypothesis that ctDNA is reasonably likely to predict treatment benefit. Friends of Cancer Research convened a diverse working group to establish and implement an analysis plan assessing patient-level associations between changes in ctDNA levels with OS and progression-free survival (PFS). EXPERIMENTAL

designThe aggregate dataset included eight clinical trials representing 940 patients with biomarker-positive advanced non-small cell lung cancer treated with tyrosine kinase inhibitors. Detection of baseline and on-treatment ctDNA was assessed for associations with OS and PFS. Additionally, combinations of ctDNA detection and RECIST measurements up to 10 weeks on treatment were considered.

resultsPatients with detected ctDNA at baseline that became nondetected on treatment ("clearance") experienced improved OS compared with patients with persistently detected ctDNA (adjusted HR = 2.12, P < 0.001). This pattern was also seen in the subset of patients with stable disease as measured by RECIST within 10 weeks of treatment initiation (adjusted HR = 4.15, P < 0.001). Results were similar for PFS.

conclusionsIn patients with oncogene-driven advanced non-small cell lung cancer treated with tyrosine kinase inhibitors, ctDNA clearance within 10 weeks of treatment initiation was associated with improved OS and PFS. These patient-level results support the growing evidence that demonstrates a change in ctDNA levels during treatment is associated with clinical benefit. Future prospective trials should include predefined thresholds of molecular response to advance the utility of ctDNA as an early endpoint.

Indexed as

Biomarkers, TumorCarcinoma, Non-Small-Cell LungCirculating Tumor DNALung NeoplasmsProtein Kinase InhibitorsAgedClinical Trials as TopicFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisTreatment OutcomeBiomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNAProtein Kinase Inhibitors

Identifiers

PMID40261185
PMCPMC12130803

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.