Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40260766›Full record

Observational studyClinical otolaryngology : official journal of ENT-UK ; official journal of Netherlands Society for Oto-Rhino-Laryngology & Cervico-Facial Surgery2025

Circulating Tumour DNA as a Complementary Tool for Treatment Evaluation in HPV-Associated Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma: An Observational Cohort Study.

Anna Oldaeus Almerén, Max Waenerlund, Fredrik Landström, Mathias von Beckerath, Alvida Qvick, Jessica Carlsson, Gisela Helenius

Registry-linked trialAbstract readObservational StudyMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Clinical otolaryngology : official journal of ENT-UK ; official journal of Netherlands Society for Oto-Rhino-Laryngology & Cervico-Facial Surgery, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05904327 (The Use of Circulating Biomarkers in Oropharyngeal Cancer and Unknown Primary of Head and Neck - a Prospective Multicenter Study for Treatment Evaluation and Surveillance), which is not on this map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05904327 active not recruitingnot on this map

The Use of Circulating Biomarkers in Oropharyngeal Cancer and Unknown Primary of Head and Neck - a Prospective Multicenter Study for Treatment Evaluation and Surveillance

TypeobservationalSponsorRegion Örebro CountyRan2020 to 2028Enrolled130ConditionsOropharynx Squamous Cell Carcinoma, Oropharynx Cancer, Tonsillar Cancer, Base of the Tongue Carcinoma
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Circulating Tumour DNA as a Complementary Tool for Treatment Evaluation in HPV-Associated Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma: An Observational Cohort Study.Clinical otolaryngology : official journal of ENT-UK ; official journal of Netherlands Society for Oto-Rhino-Laryngology & Cervico-Facial Surgery · 2025
    Observational
  7. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Anna Oldaeus AlmerénDepartment of Otolaryngology, Faculty of Medicine and Health, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-4788-5590
Max WaenerlundFaculty of Medicine and Health, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.ORCID 0009-0006-5519-1336
Fredrik LandströmDepartment of Otolaryngology, Faculty of Medicine and Health, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-7871-9846
Mathias von BeckerathFaculty of Medicine and Health, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-2610-6992
Alvida QvickDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Faculty of Medicine and Health, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-6688-947X
Jessica CarlssonDepartment of Urology, Faculty of Medicine and Health, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-5533-7899
Gisela HeleniusFaculty of Medicine and Health, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-2317-5738

Funding

Lions Clubs International FoundationNyckelfonden- Örebro University Hospital Research Foundation OLL-998877Örebro UniversityRegionala Forskningsrådet Uppsala/Örebro RFR-993252Region Örebro läns forskningskommitté OLL-996934
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesHPV-positive oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) and head and neck carcinoma of unknown primary (HNCUP) are increasing. Despite good prognosis, recurrence rates range from 10% to 25%. Surveillance with clinical controls and imaging is not always reliable. Circulating tumour human papillomavirus DNA (ctHPV-DNA) has emerged as a potential biomarker for treatment evaluation and detection of recurrence. We aimed to investigate the correlation between ctHPV-DNA in HPV+ OPSCC/HNCUP and radiologic tumour burden. Additionally, we sought to assess whether ctHPV-DNA could serve as a tool in treatment evaluation.

designA prospective observational cohort study.

settingThis multicenter study involved three otolaryngology units located in central Sweden. We utilised HPV genotype-specific assays for droplet digital PCR (ddPCR) to detect ctHPV-DNA in plasma at diagnosis and follow-up. ctHPV-DNA levels were correlated to radiological tumour burden and radiological response using the Kendall Rank correlation coefficient and the Kruskal-Wallis test.

participantsPatients with HPV+ OPSCC/HNCUP undergoing definitive (chemo)radiotherapy and enrolled in the CIRCOS study.

resultsOut of 54 patients, 51 were eligible for analyses. At baseline, ctHPV-DNA was detectable in 88%. A majority of patients with a favourable radiological evaluation according to RECIST had a corresponding undetectable ctHPV-DNA at follow-up. The levels of ctHPV-DNA at baseline correlated with total tumour volume and nodal volume (rτ = 0.39, p < 0.01, respectively rτ = 0.26, p < 0.01).

conclusionctHPV-DNA shows correlation with tumour burden. This study strengthens the role of ctHPV-DNA as a promising biomarker for treatment evaluation in HPV-related OPC/HNCUP. With further research on serial plasma sampling, ctHPV-DNA could complement radiological treatment evaluation in HPV+ OPSCC/HNCUP.

trial registrationNCT05904327 [ClinicalTrials.gov].

Indexed as

Circulating Tumor DNADNA, ViralHead and Neck NeoplasmsPapillomaviridaePapillomavirus InfectionsSquamous Cell Carcinoma of Head and NeckAdultAgedBiomarkers, TumorFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesSwedenBiomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNADNA, Viralbiomarkercancer of unknown primaryctHPV‐DNAhead and neck squamous cell carcinomahuman papilloma virusoropharyngeal cancerRECIST

Identifiers

PMID40260766
PMCPMC12319461

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.