Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40258968›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Explaining basketball game performance with SHAP: insights from Chinese Basketball Association.

Yan Ou-Yang, Wei Hong, Liming Peng, Cheng-Xi Mao, Wen-Jia Zhou, Wei-Tao Zheng, Quan Wang, Feng Qi, Xue-Wei Li, Shi-Huan Chen and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Yan Ou-Yang *School of Intelligent Sports Engineering, Wuhan Sports University, Wuhan, Hubei, People's Republic of China.
Wei Hong *School of Intelligent Sports Engineering, Wuhan Sports University, Wuhan, Hubei, People's Republic of China.
Liming Peng *School of Intelligent Sports Engineering, Wuhan Sports University, Wuhan, Hubei, People's Republic of China.
Cheng-Xi MaoSchool of Intelligent Sports Engineering, Wuhan Sports University, Wuhan, Hubei, People's Republic of China.
Wen-Jia ZhouSchool of Intelligent Sports Engineering, Wuhan Sports University, Wuhan, Hubei, People's Republic of China.
Wei-Tao ZhengSchool of Intelligent Sports Engineering, Wuhan Sports University, Wuhan, Hubei, People's Republic of China.
Quan WangSchool of Intelligent Sports Engineering, Wuhan Sports University, Wuhan, Hubei, People's Republic of China.
Feng QiSchool of Intelligent Sports Engineering, Wuhan Sports University, Wuhan, Hubei, People's Republic of China.
Xue-Wei LiSchool of Intelligent Sports Engineering, Wuhan Sports University, Wuhan, Hubei, People's Republic of China. 2020028@whsu.edu.cn.
Shi-Huan ChenSchool of Intelligent Sports Engineering, Wuhan Sports University, Wuhan, Hubei, People's Republic of China.
Ce XuSchool of Intelligent Sports Engineering, Wuhan Sports University, Wuhan, Hubei, People's Republic of China.
Yu-Fan WangSchool of Intelligent Sports Engineering, Wuhan Sports University, Wuhan, Hubei, People's Republic of China.

Funding

Scientific and Technological Research Project of Hubei Provincial Education Department B2021189the 14th Five-Year-Plan Advantageous and Characteristic Disciplines (Groups) of Colleges and Universities in Hubei Province E Jiao Yan No. [2021] 5Wuhan Sports University Youth Scientific Research Fund Project 2022S15
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study explores the Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) influencing the game outcomes of the Chinese Basketball Association (CBA). Utilizing data from 4100 games across 10 CBA seasons (2013-2023), this study constructs CBA game outcome prediction models using seven machine learning algorithms, including XGBoost, LightGBM, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Support Vector Machines, Logistic Regression, and K-Nearest Neighbors. The SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) method is applied to explain the optimal prediction model and analyze the KPIs. The findings are as follows: (1) XGBoost demonstrates excellent performance in predicting CBA game outcomes. (2) eFG%, 3P%, 2P%, ORB%, DRB, and TOV% are key indicators influencing CBA game outcomes. (3) There is a tendency for offensive play over defensive strategies in CBA playoffs. This combined methodology of machine learning and SHAP analysis not only exhibits superior performance but also strong explainability. It effectively reflects the relationship between game outcomes and performance data, providing a scientific basis for enhancing professional basketball performance.

Indexed as

Athletic PerformanceBasketballAlgorithmsChinaHumansMachine LearningSupport Vector MachineBasketballCBAData miningMachine learningPerformance analysisTeam sports

Identifiers

PMID40258968
PMCPMC12012039

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.