Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40258150›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2025

Thermal homogenization of boreal communities in response to climate warming.

Jussi Mäkinen, Emilie E Ellis, Laura H Antão, Andréa Davrinche, Anna-Liisa Laine, Marjo Saastamoinen, Irene Conenna, Maria Hällfors, Andrea Santangeli, Elina Kaarlejärvi and 25 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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  7. Thermal homogenization of boreal communities in response to climate warming.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

35 authors.

Jussi MäkinenResearch Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki FI-00014, Finland.ORCID 0000-0001-6599-8279
Emilie E EllisResearch Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki FI-00014, Finland.ORCID 0000-0001-7862-3353
Laura H AntãoResearch Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki FI-00014, Finland.ORCID 0000-0001-6612-9366
Andréa DavrincheResearch Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki FI-00014, Finland.ORCID 0000-0003-0339-2997
Anna-Liisa LaineResearch Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki FI-00014, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-0703-5850
Marjo SaastamoinenResearch Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki FI-00014, Finland.ORCID 0000-0001-7009-2527
Irene ConennaResearch Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki FI-00014, Finland.ORCID 0000-0003-4141-4341
Maria HällforsResearch Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki FI-00014, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-6890-8942
Andrea SantangeliResearch Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki FI-00014, Finland.ORCID 0000-0003-0273-1977
Elina KaarlejärviResearch Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki FI-00014, Finland.ORCID 0000-0003-0014-0073
Janne HeliöläNature Solutions Unit, Finnish Environment Institute (Syke), Helsinki FI-00790, Finland.ORCID 0000-0003-1218-4655
Ida-Maria HuikkonenNature Solutions Unit, Finnish Environment Institute (Syke), Helsinki FI-00790, Finland.ORCID 0009-0000-4417-4211
Mikko KuussaariNature Solutions Unit, Finnish Environment Institute (Syke), Helsinki FI-00790, Finland.ORCID 0000-0003-0264-9316
Reima LeinonenKainuu Centre for Economic Development, Transport and the Environment, Kajaani FI-87101, Finland.ORCID 0000-0001-6074-4659
Aleksi LehikoinenFinnish Museum of Natural History, University of Helsinki, Helsinki FI-00014, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-1989-277X
Juha PöyryNature Solutions Unit, Finnish Environment Institute (Syke), Helsinki FI-00790, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-5548-1046
Anna SuuronenNature Solutions Unit, Finnish Environment Institute (Syke), Helsinki FI-00790, Finland.ORCID 0000-0003-2726-229X
Maija SalemaaNatural Resources Institute Finland, Helsinki FI-00790, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-4436-6413
Tiina TonteriNatural Resources Institute Finland, Helsinki FI-00790, Finland.ORCID 0000-0001-8783-3213
Kristiina M VuorioNature Solutions Unit, Finnish Environment Institute (Syke), Helsinki FI-00790, Finland.ORCID 0000-0001-7974-0092
Birger SkjelbredNorwegian Institute for Water Research, Oslo NO-0579, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-3338-7294
Marko JärvinenNature Solutions Unit, Finnish Environment Institute (Syke), Helsinki FI-00790, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-8107-8066
Stina DrakareDepartment of Aquatic Sciences and Assessment, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala SE-75007, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-7389-2105
Laurence CarvalhoNorwegian Institute for Water Research, Oslo NO-0579, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-9768-9902
Erik WelkDepartment of Geobotany and Botanical Garden, Martin Luther University, Halle-Wittenberg D-06099, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-2685-3795
Gunnar SeidlerDepartment of Geobotany and Botanical Garden, Martin Luther University, Halle-Wittenberg D-06099, Germany.
Pieter VangansbekeDepartment of Environment, Forest & Nature Lab, Ghent University, Gontrode B-9090, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-6356-2858
František MálišDepartment of Vegetation Ecology, Faculty of Forestry, Technical University in Zvolen, Zvolen SK-96053, Slovakia.ORCID 0000-0003-2760-6988
Radim HédlInstitute of Botany, Czech Academy of Sciences, Brno CZ-60200, Czech Republic.ORCID 0000-0002-6040-8126
Alistair G AuffretDepartment of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala SE-75007, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-4190-4423
Jan PlueDepartment of Urban and Rural Development, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala SE-75007, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-6999-669X
Pieter De FrenneDepartment of Environment, Forest & Nature Lab, Ghent University, Gontrode B-9090, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-8613-0943
Jesse M KalwijInstitute of Geography and Geoecology, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe D-76131, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-8685-9603
Jarno VanhataloResearch Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki FI-00014, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-6831-0211
Tomas RoslinDepartment of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala SE-75007, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-2957-4791

Funding

CAS | Institute of Botany of the Czech Academy of Sciences (Institute of Botany of the ASCR) RVO 67985939EC | ERC | HORIZON EUROPE European Research Council (ERC) 856506EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (H2020) 101027534Jane and Aatos Erkko FoundationResearch Council of Finland (AKA) 322266Research Council of Finland (AKA) 330739Research Council of Finland (AKA) 340280Research Council of Finland (AKA) 347188Research Council of Finland (AKA) 361416Research Council of Finland (AKA) 362647Swedish Research Council FORMAS FR-2019/0007Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Globally, rising temperatures are increasingly favoring warm-affiliated species. Although changes in community composition are typically measured by the mean temperature affinity of species (the community temperature index, CTI), they may be driven by different processes and accompanied by shifts in the diversity of temperature affinities and breadth of species thermal niches. To resolve the pathways to community warming in Finnish flora and fauna, we examined multidecadal changes in the dominance and diversity of temperature affinities among understory forest plant, freshwater phytoplankton, butterfly, moth, and bird communities. CTI increased for all animal communities, with no change observed for plants or phytoplankton. In addition, the diversity of temperature affinities declined for all groups except butterflies, and this loss was more pronounced for the fastest-warming communities. These changes were driven in animals mainly by a decrease in cold-affiliated species and an increase in warm-affiliated species. In plants and phytoplankton the decline of thermal diversity was driven by declines of both cold- and warm-affiliated species. Plant and moth communities were increasingly dominated by thermal specialist species, and birds by thermal generalists. In general, climate warming outpaced changes in both the mean and diversity of temperature affinities of communities. Our results highlight the complex dynamics underpinning the thermal reorganization of communities across a large spatiotemporal gradient, revealing that extinctions of cold-affiliated species and colonization by warm-affiliated species lag behind changes in ambient temperature, while communities become less thermally diverse. Such changes can have important implications for community structure and ecosystem functioning under accelerating rates of climate change.

Indexed as

BiodiversityClimate ChangeEcosystemGlobal WarmingAnimalsBirdsButterfliesFinlandMothsPhytoplanktonTemperatureclimate changeclimatic debtcommunity temperature indexniche breadthniche position

Identifiers

PMID40258150
PMCPMC12054843

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.