Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40253538›Full record

ArticleCommunications medicine2025

A Mendelian randomization analysis of cardiac MRI measurements as surrogate outcomes for heart failure and atrial fibrillation.

A F Schmidt, C Finan, J van Setten, E Puyol-Antón, B Ruijsink, M Bourfiss, A I Alasiri, B K Velthuis, F W Asselbergs, A S J M Te Riele

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Communications medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Risk of cancer following presentation with new-onset atrial fibrillation using data from UK national databases.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

A F SchmidtInstitute of Cardiovascular Science, Faculty of Population Health, University College London, London, UK. amand.schmidt@ucl.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1327-0424
C FinanInstitute of Cardiovascular Science, Faculty of Population Health, University College London, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3319-1937
J van SettenDepartment of Cardiology, Division Heart and Lungs, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4934-7510
E Puyol-AntónDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, School of Biomedical Engineering and Imaging Sciences, King's College London, King's Health Partners, London, UK.
B RuijsinkSchool of Imaging Sciences and Biomedical Engineering, King's College London, London, UK.
M BourfissDepartment of Cardiology, Division Heart and Lungs, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
A I AlasiriDepartment of Cardiology, Division Heart and Lungs, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1450-2936
B K VelthuisDepartment of Radiology, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
F W AsselbergsInstitute of Cardiovascular Science, Faculty of Population Health, University College London, London, UK.
A S J M Te RieleDepartment of Cardiology, Division Heart and Lungs, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

Funding

Bioinformatics Strategies for Genome-Wide Association StudiesR01LM010098 · NLM · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI MOORE, JASON H., WILLIAMS, SCOTT MATTHEW · 2009 to 2023
$5.1M
NLM NIH HHS R01 LM010098Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDrug development and disease prevention of heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are impeded by a lack of robust early-stage surrogates. We determined to what extent cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) measurements act as surrogates for the development of HF or AF.

methodsGenetic data were sourced on the association with 21 atrial and ventricular CMR measurements. Mendelian randomization was used to determine CMR associations with AF, HF, non-ischaemic cardiomyopathy (NICM), and dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM), noting that the definition of NICM includes DCM as a subset. Additionally, for the CMR surrogates of AF and HF, we explored their association with non-cardiac traits potentially influenced by cardiac disease liability.

resultsIn total we find that 7 CMR measures (biventricular ejection fraction (EF) and end-systolic volume (ESV), as well as LV systolic volume (SV), end-diastolic volume (EDV), and mass to volume ratio (MVR)) associate with the development of HF, 5 with the development of NICM (biventricular EDV and ESV, LV-EF), 7 with DCM (biventricular EF, ESV, EDV, and LV end-diastolic mass (EDM), and 3 associate with AF (LV-ESV, RV-EF, RV-ESV). Higher EF of both ventricles associate with lower risk of HF and DCM, with biventricular ESV associating with all four cardiac outcomes. Higher values of biventricular EDV associate with lower risk of HF, and DCM. Exploring the associations of these CMR cardiac disease surrogates with non-cardiac traits confirms a strong link with diastolic blood pressure, as well as more specific associations with lung function (LV-ESV), HbA1c (LV-EDM), and type 2 diabetes (LV-SV).

conclusionsThe current paper identifies key CMR measurements that may act as surrogate endpoints for the development of HF (including NICM and DCM) or AF.

Identifiers

PMID40253538
PMCPMC12009341

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.