Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40251295›Full record

ArticleNature food2025

Oscillation-induced yield loss in China partially driven by migratory pests from mainland Southeast Asia.

Chenzhi Wang, Xuhui Wang, Yuxing Sang, Christoph Müller, Yao Huang, Laurent Li, Diane Cooke, Quanbo Zhao, Liangliang Zhang, Yahai Lu and 5 more

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature food, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Wild vegetables contribute to improving the diversity and sustainability of vegetable diets in China.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Chenzhi WangInstitute of Carbon Neutrality, Sino-French Institute for Earth System Sciences, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1756-4887
Xuhui WangInstitute of Carbon Neutrality, Sino-French Institute for Earth System Sciences, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China. xuhui.wang@pku.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0818-9816
Yuxing SangInstitute of Carbon Neutrality, Sino-French Institute for Earth System Sciences, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0345-3788
Christoph MüllerPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9491-3550
Yao HuangState Key Laboratory of Vegetation and Environmental Change, Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Laurent LiLaboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, CNRS, Sorbonne Université, Paris, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3855-3976
Diane CookeLeibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, Müncheberg, Germany.
Quanbo ZhaoInstitute of Carbon Neutrality, Sino-French Institute for Earth System Sciences, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9396-6530
Liangliang ZhangInstitute of Carbon Neutrality, Sino-French Institute for Earth System Sciences, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Yahai LuInstitute of Carbon Neutrality, Sino-French Institute for Earth System Sciences, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Feng ZhouInstitute of Carbon Neutrality, Sino-French Institute for Earth System Sciences, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6122-0611
Hongyan LiuInstitute of Carbon Neutrality, Sino-French Institute for Earth System Sciences, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6721-4439
Fulu TaoKey Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8574-0080
Tao LinCollege of Biosystems Engineering and Food Science, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9721-5363
Shilong PiaoInstitute of Carbon Neutrality, Sino-French Institute for Earth System Sciences, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8057-2292

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Large-scale climate oscillations are recognized as skilful predictors of variations in global and regional crop yield. However, the mechanisms linking climate oscillations to crop yield variations remain unclear and are widely assumed to result from crop physiological responses to oscillation-induced local climate variations. Here we assessed the pattern of oscillation-induced yield variations in China over the past four decades and found that El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the primary climatic oscillation associated with extreme yield anomalies, particularly in southern China. These ENSO-related extreme yield anomalies are driven not only by local climate anomalies but also by greater occurrences of crop pests and diseases. Interestingly, the greater occurrence of crop pests is not triggered by local climate anomalies but is linked to ENSO-forced climate anomalies in mainland Southeast Asia, the source region of these pests, fuelled by the ENSO-driven circulation pattern facilitating their migration to China. Given the projected increase in the frequency of ENSO events in a warming future, effectively mitigating such oscillation-induced crop failures requires cross-border collaboration between the source and receiving countries of crop pests.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeCrops, AgriculturalAnimalsAsia, SoutheasternChinaEl Nino-Southern Oscillation

Identifiers

PMID40251295

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.